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Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?

The use of multiple working hypotheses to gain strong inference is widely promoted as a means to enhance the effectiveness of scientific investigation. Only 21 of 100 randomly selected studies from the ecological and evolutionary literature tested more than one hypothesis and only eight tested more...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Betini, Gustavo S., Avgar, Tal, Fryxell, John M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society Publishing 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5319344/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28280578
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.160756
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author Betini, Gustavo S.
Avgar, Tal
Fryxell, John M.
author_facet Betini, Gustavo S.
Avgar, Tal
Fryxell, John M.
author_sort Betini, Gustavo S.
collection PubMed
description The use of multiple working hypotheses to gain strong inference is widely promoted as a means to enhance the effectiveness of scientific investigation. Only 21 of 100 randomly selected studies from the ecological and evolutionary literature tested more than one hypothesis and only eight tested more than two hypotheses. The surprising rarity of application of multiple working hypotheses suggests that this gap between theory and practice might reflect some fundamental issues. Here, we identify several intellectual and practical barriers that discourage us from using multiple hypotheses in our scientific investigation. While scientists have developed a number of ways to avoid biases, such as the use of double-blind controls, we suspect that few scientists are fully aware of the potential influence of cognitive bias on their decisions and they have not yet adopted many techniques available to overcome intellectual and practical barriers in order to improve scientific investigation.
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spelling pubmed-53193442017-03-09 Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? Betini, Gustavo S. Avgar, Tal Fryxell, John M. R Soc Open Sci Biology (Whole Organism) The use of multiple working hypotheses to gain strong inference is widely promoted as a means to enhance the effectiveness of scientific investigation. Only 21 of 100 randomly selected studies from the ecological and evolutionary literature tested more than one hypothesis and only eight tested more than two hypotheses. The surprising rarity of application of multiple working hypotheses suggests that this gap between theory and practice might reflect some fundamental issues. Here, we identify several intellectual and practical barriers that discourage us from using multiple hypotheses in our scientific investigation. While scientists have developed a number of ways to avoid biases, such as the use of double-blind controls, we suspect that few scientists are fully aware of the potential influence of cognitive bias on their decisions and they have not yet adopted many techniques available to overcome intellectual and practical barriers in order to improve scientific investigation. The Royal Society Publishing 2017-01-11 /pmc/articles/PMC5319344/ /pubmed/28280578 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.160756 Text en © 2017 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Biology (Whole Organism)
Betini, Gustavo S.
Avgar, Tal
Fryxell, John M.
Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
title Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
title_full Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
title_fullStr Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
title_full_unstemmed Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
title_short Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
title_sort why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
topic Biology (Whole Organism)
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5319344/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28280578
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.160756
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