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Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution?
The use of multiple working hypotheses to gain strong inference is widely promoted as a means to enhance the effectiveness of scientific investigation. Only 21 of 100 randomly selected studies from the ecological and evolutionary literature tested more than one hypothesis and only eight tested more...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Royal Society Publishing
2017
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5319344/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28280578 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.160756 |
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author | Betini, Gustavo S. Avgar, Tal Fryxell, John M. |
author_facet | Betini, Gustavo S. Avgar, Tal Fryxell, John M. |
author_sort | Betini, Gustavo S. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The use of multiple working hypotheses to gain strong inference is widely promoted as a means to enhance the effectiveness of scientific investigation. Only 21 of 100 randomly selected studies from the ecological and evolutionary literature tested more than one hypothesis and only eight tested more than two hypotheses. The surprising rarity of application of multiple working hypotheses suggests that this gap between theory and practice might reflect some fundamental issues. Here, we identify several intellectual and practical barriers that discourage us from using multiple hypotheses in our scientific investigation. While scientists have developed a number of ways to avoid biases, such as the use of double-blind controls, we suspect that few scientists are fully aware of the potential influence of cognitive bias on their decisions and they have not yet adopted many techniques available to overcome intellectual and practical barriers in order to improve scientific investigation. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5319344 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2017 |
publisher | The Royal Society Publishing |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-53193442017-03-09 Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? Betini, Gustavo S. Avgar, Tal Fryxell, John M. R Soc Open Sci Biology (Whole Organism) The use of multiple working hypotheses to gain strong inference is widely promoted as a means to enhance the effectiveness of scientific investigation. Only 21 of 100 randomly selected studies from the ecological and evolutionary literature tested more than one hypothesis and only eight tested more than two hypotheses. The surprising rarity of application of multiple working hypotheses suggests that this gap between theory and practice might reflect some fundamental issues. Here, we identify several intellectual and practical barriers that discourage us from using multiple hypotheses in our scientific investigation. While scientists have developed a number of ways to avoid biases, such as the use of double-blind controls, we suspect that few scientists are fully aware of the potential influence of cognitive bias on their decisions and they have not yet adopted many techniques available to overcome intellectual and practical barriers in order to improve scientific investigation. The Royal Society Publishing 2017-01-11 /pmc/articles/PMC5319344/ /pubmed/28280578 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.160756 Text en © 2017 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Biology (Whole Organism) Betini, Gustavo S. Avgar, Tal Fryxell, John M. Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? |
title | Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? |
title_full | Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? |
title_fullStr | Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? |
title_full_unstemmed | Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? |
title_short | Why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? |
title_sort | why are we not evaluating multiple competing hypotheses in ecology and evolution? |
topic | Biology (Whole Organism) |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5319344/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28280578 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.160756 |
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