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The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains

This paper explores the optimal treatment of an infectious disease in a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, where there are two strains of the disease and one strain is more infectious than the other. The strains are perfectly distinguishable, instantly diagnosed and equally costly in terms of s...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Rowthorn, Robert, Walther, Selma
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5420024/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27837260
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1074-5
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author Rowthorn, Robert
Walther, Selma
author_facet Rowthorn, Robert
Walther, Selma
author_sort Rowthorn, Robert
collection PubMed
description This paper explores the optimal treatment of an infectious disease in a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, where there are two strains of the disease and one strain is more infectious than the other. The strains are perfectly distinguishable, instantly diagnosed and equally costly in terms of social welfare. Treatment is equally costly and effective for both strains. Eradication is not possible, and there is no superinfection. In this model, we characterise two types of fixed points: coexistence equilibria, where both strains prevail, and boundary equilibria, where one strain is asymptotically eradicated and the other prevails at a positive level. We derive regimes of feasibility that determine which equilibria are feasible for which parameter combinations. Numerically, we show that optimal policy exhibits switch points over time, and that the paths to coexistence equilibria exhibit spirals, suggesting that coexistence equilibria are never the end points of optimal paths.
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spelling pubmed-54200242017-05-22 The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains Rowthorn, Robert Walther, Selma J Math Biol Article This paper explores the optimal treatment of an infectious disease in a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, where there are two strains of the disease and one strain is more infectious than the other. The strains are perfectly distinguishable, instantly diagnosed and equally costly in terms of social welfare. Treatment is equally costly and effective for both strains. Eradication is not possible, and there is no superinfection. In this model, we characterise two types of fixed points: coexistence equilibria, where both strains prevail, and boundary equilibria, where one strain is asymptotically eradicated and the other prevails at a positive level. We derive regimes of feasibility that determine which equilibria are feasible for which parameter combinations. Numerically, we show that optimal policy exhibits switch points over time, and that the paths to coexistence equilibria exhibit spirals, suggesting that coexistence equilibria are never the end points of optimal paths. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2016-11-11 2017 /pmc/articles/PMC5420024/ /pubmed/27837260 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1074-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2016 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Article
Rowthorn, Robert
Walther, Selma
The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
title The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
title_full The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
title_fullStr The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
title_full_unstemmed The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
title_short The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
title_sort optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5420024/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27837260
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1074-5
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