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The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains
This paper explores the optimal treatment of an infectious disease in a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, where there are two strains of the disease and one strain is more infectious than the other. The strains are perfectly distinguishable, instantly diagnosed and equally costly in terms of s...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2016
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5420024/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27837260 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1074-5 |
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author | Rowthorn, Robert Walther, Selma |
author_facet | Rowthorn, Robert Walther, Selma |
author_sort | Rowthorn, Robert |
collection | PubMed |
description | This paper explores the optimal treatment of an infectious disease in a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, where there are two strains of the disease and one strain is more infectious than the other. The strains are perfectly distinguishable, instantly diagnosed and equally costly in terms of social welfare. Treatment is equally costly and effective for both strains. Eradication is not possible, and there is no superinfection. In this model, we characterise two types of fixed points: coexistence equilibria, where both strains prevail, and boundary equilibria, where one strain is asymptotically eradicated and the other prevails at a positive level. We derive regimes of feasibility that determine which equilibria are feasible for which parameter combinations. Numerically, we show that optimal policy exhibits switch points over time, and that the paths to coexistence equilibria exhibit spirals, suggesting that coexistence equilibria are never the end points of optimal paths. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5420024 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2016 |
publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-54200242017-05-22 The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains Rowthorn, Robert Walther, Selma J Math Biol Article This paper explores the optimal treatment of an infectious disease in a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model, where there are two strains of the disease and one strain is more infectious than the other. The strains are perfectly distinguishable, instantly diagnosed and equally costly in terms of social welfare. Treatment is equally costly and effective for both strains. Eradication is not possible, and there is no superinfection. In this model, we characterise two types of fixed points: coexistence equilibria, where both strains prevail, and boundary equilibria, where one strain is asymptotically eradicated and the other prevails at a positive level. We derive regimes of feasibility that determine which equilibria are feasible for which parameter combinations. Numerically, we show that optimal policy exhibits switch points over time, and that the paths to coexistence equilibria exhibit spirals, suggesting that coexistence equilibria are never the end points of optimal paths. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2016-11-11 2017 /pmc/articles/PMC5420024/ /pubmed/27837260 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1074-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2016 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. |
spellingShingle | Article Rowthorn, Robert Walther, Selma The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains |
title | The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains |
title_full | The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains |
title_fullStr | The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains |
title_full_unstemmed | The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains |
title_short | The optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains |
title_sort | optimal treatment of an infectious disease with two strains |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5420024/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27837260 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00285-016-1074-5 |
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