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Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases

Aviation transportation systems have developed rapidly in recent years and have become a focus for research on the modeling of epidemics. However, despite the number of studies on aggregated topological structures and their effects on the spread of disease, the temporal sequence of flights that conn...

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Autores principales: Mou, Jianhong, Liu, Chuchu, Chen, Saran, Huang, Ge, Lu, Xin
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5430792/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28455531
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-01380-5
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author Mou, Jianhong
Liu, Chuchu
Chen, Saran
Huang, Ge
Lu, Xin
author_facet Mou, Jianhong
Liu, Chuchu
Chen, Saran
Huang, Ge
Lu, Xin
author_sort Mou, Jianhong
collection PubMed
description Aviation transportation systems have developed rapidly in recent years and have become a focus for research on the modeling of epidemics. However, despite the number of studies on aggregated topological structures and their effects on the spread of disease, the temporal sequence of flights that connect different airports have not been examined. In this study, to analyze the temporal pattern of the Chinese Aviation Network (CAN), we obtain a time series of topological statistics through sliding the temporal CAN with an hourly time window. In addition, we build two types of Susceptible-Infectious (SI) spreading models to study the effects of linking sequence and temporal duration on the spread of diseases. The results reveal that the absence of links formed by flights without alternatives at dawn and night causes a significant decrease in the centralization of the network. The temporal sparsity of linking sequence slows down the spread of disease on CAN, and the duration of flights intensifies the sensitiveness of CAN to targeted infection. The results are of great significance for further understanding of the aviation network and the dynamic process, such as the propagation of delay.
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spelling pubmed-54307922017-05-16 Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases Mou, Jianhong Liu, Chuchu Chen, Saran Huang, Ge Lu, Xin Sci Rep Article Aviation transportation systems have developed rapidly in recent years and have become a focus for research on the modeling of epidemics. However, despite the number of studies on aggregated topological structures and their effects on the spread of disease, the temporal sequence of flights that connect different airports have not been examined. In this study, to analyze the temporal pattern of the Chinese Aviation Network (CAN), we obtain a time series of topological statistics through sliding the temporal CAN with an hourly time window. In addition, we build two types of Susceptible-Infectious (SI) spreading models to study the effects of linking sequence and temporal duration on the spread of diseases. The results reveal that the absence of links formed by flights without alternatives at dawn and night causes a significant decrease in the centralization of the network. The temporal sparsity of linking sequence slows down the spread of disease on CAN, and the duration of flights intensifies the sensitiveness of CAN to targeted infection. The results are of great significance for further understanding of the aviation network and the dynamic process, such as the propagation of delay. Nature Publishing Group UK 2017-04-28 /pmc/articles/PMC5430792/ /pubmed/28455531 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-01380-5 Text en © The Author(s) 2017 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Mou, Jianhong
Liu, Chuchu
Chen, Saran
Huang, Ge
Lu, Xin
Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases
title Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases
title_full Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases
title_fullStr Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases
title_full_unstemmed Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases
title_short Temporal Characteristics of the Chinese Aviation Network and their Effects on the Spread of Infectious Diseases
title_sort temporal characteristics of the chinese aviation network and their effects on the spread of infectious diseases
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5430792/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28455531
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-01380-5
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