Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades

Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natura...

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Autores principales: Santer, Benjamin D., Solomon, Susan, Wentz, Frank J., Fu, Qiang, Po-Chedley, Stephen, Mears, Carl, Painter, Jeffrey F., Bonfils, Céline
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2017
Materias:
Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5443760/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28539644
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-02520-7
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author Santer, Benjamin D.
Solomon, Susan
Wentz, Frank J.
Fu, Qiang
Po-Chedley, Stephen
Mears, Carl
Painter, Jeffrey F.
Bonfils, Céline
author_facet Santer, Benjamin D.
Solomon, Susan
Wentz, Frank J.
Fu, Qiang
Po-Chedley, Stephen
Mears, Carl
Painter, Jeffrey F.
Bonfils, Céline
author_sort Santer, Benjamin D.
collection PubMed
description Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale.
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spelling pubmed-54437602017-05-26 Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades Santer, Benjamin D. Solomon, Susan Wentz, Frank J. Fu, Qiang Po-Chedley, Stephen Mears, Carl Painter, Jeffrey F. Bonfils, Céline Sci Rep Article Satellite temperature measurements do not support the recent claim of a “leveling off of warming” over the past two decades. Tropospheric warming trends over recent 20-year periods are always significantly larger (at the 10% level or better) than model estimates of 20-year trends arising from natural internal variability. Over the full 38-year period of the satellite record, the separation between observed warming and internal variability estimates is even clearer. In two out of three recent satellite datasets, the tropospheric warming from 1979 to 2016 is unprecedented relative to internally generated temperature trends on the 38-year timescale. Nature Publishing Group UK 2017-05-24 /pmc/articles/PMC5443760/ /pubmed/28539644 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-02520-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2017 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Santer, Benjamin D.
Solomon, Susan
Wentz, Frank J.
Fu, Qiang
Po-Chedley, Stephen
Mears, Carl
Painter, Jeffrey F.
Bonfils, Céline
Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_full Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_fullStr Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_full_unstemmed Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_short Tropospheric Warming Over The Past Two Decades
title_sort tropospheric warming over the past two decades
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5443760/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28539644
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-02520-7
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