Leptin and Leptin-to-Adiponectin Ratio Predict Adiposity Gain in Nonobese Children over a Six-Year Period

Background: Previous longitudinal studies have shown inconsistent results regarding the influence of adipokines on changes in weight and body fat. We aimed to determine the predictive value of serum leptin, adiponectin, and their ratio on subsequent changes in obesity measures in children. Methods: Two hundred forty-six obese and 532 nonobese children aged 6–11 years were remeasured for BMI and waist circumference after 6.4 ± 0.2 years. Z-score of BMI was used to standardize for age and sex. Obesity was defined using the international BMI cutoffs. Waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) was calculated to define central obesity using a boundary value of 0.5. Fasting serum leptin and adiponectin levels were measured at baseline. Results: Newly identified obese children had significantly higher levels of leptin and leptin-to-adiponectin ratio than nonobese children. There were lower adiponectin levels in boys with persistent obesity versus those with transient obesity. After adjusting for age, Tanner stage, and corresponding adiposity measures at baseline, leptin levels and leptin-to-adiponectin ratio were positively associated with BMI Z-score gain in girls and WHtR gain in boys. An inverse association between leptin and BMI Z-score gain was detected in boys. Stratified analyses revealed significant associations only in the nonobese and prepubertal group. There were no significant associations between adiponectin and changes in obesity measures. Conclusions: High leptin levels and leptin-to-adiponectin ratio are sex-specific predictors of obesity measures gain in nonobese and prepubertal children. Body composition measurement is necessary to assess fat mass growth and distribution during childhood and adolescence.