Initial computed tomography imaging details during first-line systemic therapy is of significant prognostic value in patients with naïve, unresectable metastatic renal cell carcinoma

PURPOSE: We aimed to determine the prognostic significance of computed tomography imaging parameters of unresectable primary renal tumor lesions, obtained at baseline and at first follow-up, on overall survival in naïve, unresectable metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients during first-line systemic therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Clinicopathological parameters of 56 patients treated between 2007 and 2015, including imaging parameters (such as the longest tumor diameter, necrotic area diameter, and attenuation in primary renal tumor lesions on baseline vs. follow-up computed tomography), were retrospectively reviewed to derive predictive factors of overall survival. The best overall response was measured according to the RECIST v1.1. RESULTS: The median treatment period was 206.3 days and the median follow-up was 14.6 months. Forty-four (78.6%) patients progressed after a median 4.6 months of progression-free survival, and 6 (10.7%) patients survived with a median overall survival of 12.5 months. Multivariate analysis showed that the baseline tumor diameter (hazard ratio [HR] 0.903) and mean attenuation (HR 0.936), change of tumor diameter (HR 0.714) and necrosis diameter (HR 0.861), change in the percentage of tumor diameter (HR 1.483) and of necrosis diameter (HR 1.028) between baseline and follow-up computed tomography images; treatment duration (HR 0.986) and baseline serum hemoglobin (HR 1.790) and albumin level (HR 0.060) were significant factors for overall survival (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: The study showed that baseline and first follow-up computed tomography findings of primary renal lesions during first-line systemic therapy are useful and significant predictors of OS in patients with naïve unresectable mRCC.