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Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary

The dominant theoretical framework for decision making asserts that people make decisions by integrating noisy evidence to a threshold. It has recently been shown that in many ecologically realistic situations, decreasing the decision boundary maximizes the reward available from decisions. However,...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Malhotra, Gaurav, Leslie, David S., Ludwig, Casimir J. H., Bogacz, Rafal
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Psychological Association 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5459222/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28406682
http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/xge0000286
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author Malhotra, Gaurav
Leslie, David S.
Ludwig, Casimir J. H.
Bogacz, Rafal
author_facet Malhotra, Gaurav
Leslie, David S.
Ludwig, Casimir J. H.
Bogacz, Rafal
author_sort Malhotra, Gaurav
collection PubMed
description The dominant theoretical framework for decision making asserts that people make decisions by integrating noisy evidence to a threshold. It has recently been shown that in many ecologically realistic situations, decreasing the decision boundary maximizes the reward available from decisions. However, empirical support for decreasing boundaries in humans is scant. To investigate this problem, we used an ideal observer model to identify the conditions under which participants should change their decision boundaries with time to maximize reward rate. We conducted 6 expanded-judgment experiments that precisely matched the assumptions of this theoretical model. In this paradigm, participants could sample noisy, binary evidence presented sequentially. Blocks of trials were fixed in duration, and each trial was an independent reward opportunity. Participants therefore had to trade off speed (getting as many rewards as possible) against accuracy (sampling more evidence). Having access to the actual evidence samples experienced by participants enabled us to infer the slope of the decision boundary. We found that participants indeed modulated the slope of the decision boundary in the direction predicted by the ideal observer model, although we also observed systematic deviations from optimality. Participants using suboptimal boundaries do so in a robust manner, so that any error in their boundary setting is relatively inexpensive. The use of a normative model provides insight into what variable(s) human decision makers are trying to optimize. Furthermore, this normative model allowed us to choose diagnostic experiments and in doing so we present clear evidence for time-varying boundaries.
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spelling pubmed-54592222017-06-13 Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary Malhotra, Gaurav Leslie, David S. Ludwig, Casimir J. H. Bogacz, Rafal J Exp Psychol Gen Articles The dominant theoretical framework for decision making asserts that people make decisions by integrating noisy evidence to a threshold. It has recently been shown that in many ecologically realistic situations, decreasing the decision boundary maximizes the reward available from decisions. However, empirical support for decreasing boundaries in humans is scant. To investigate this problem, we used an ideal observer model to identify the conditions under which participants should change their decision boundaries with time to maximize reward rate. We conducted 6 expanded-judgment experiments that precisely matched the assumptions of this theoretical model. In this paradigm, participants could sample noisy, binary evidence presented sequentially. Blocks of trials were fixed in duration, and each trial was an independent reward opportunity. Participants therefore had to trade off speed (getting as many rewards as possible) against accuracy (sampling more evidence). Having access to the actual evidence samples experienced by participants enabled us to infer the slope of the decision boundary. We found that participants indeed modulated the slope of the decision boundary in the direction predicted by the ideal observer model, although we also observed systematic deviations from optimality. Participants using suboptimal boundaries do so in a robust manner, so that any error in their boundary setting is relatively inexpensive. The use of a normative model provides insight into what variable(s) human decision makers are trying to optimize. Furthermore, this normative model allowed us to choose diagnostic experiments and in doing so we present clear evidence for time-varying boundaries. American Psychological Association 2017-04-13 2017-06 /pmc/articles/PMC5459222/ /pubmed/28406682 http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/xge0000286 Text en © 2017 The Author(s) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ This article has been published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Copyright for this article is retained by the author(s). Author(s) grant(s) the American Psychological Association the exclusive right to publish the article and identify itself as the original publisher.
spellingShingle Articles
Malhotra, Gaurav
Leslie, David S.
Ludwig, Casimir J. H.
Bogacz, Rafal
Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary
title Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary
title_full Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary
title_fullStr Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary
title_full_unstemmed Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary
title_short Overcoming Indecision by Changing the Decision Boundary
title_sort overcoming indecision by changing the decision boundary
topic Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5459222/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28406682
http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/xge0000286
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