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Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China
Climate change might pose an additional threat to the already vulnerable giant panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca). Effective conservation efforts require projections of vulnerability of the giant panda in facing climate change and proactive strategies to reduce emerging climate‐related threats. We used...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2017
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5468157/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28616195 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.2981 |
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author | Li, Jia Liu, Fang Xue, Yadong Zhang, Yu Li, Diqiang |
author_facet | Li, Jia Liu, Fang Xue, Yadong Zhang, Yu Li, Diqiang |
author_sort | Li, Jia |
collection | PubMed |
description | Climate change might pose an additional threat to the already vulnerable giant panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca). Effective conservation efforts require projections of vulnerability of the giant panda in facing climate change and proactive strategies to reduce emerging climate‐related threats. We used the maximum entropy model to assess the vulnerability of giant panda to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China. The results of modeling included the following findings: (1) the area of suitable habitat for giant pandas was projected to decrease by 281 km(2) from climate change by the 2050s; (2) the mean elevation of suitable habitat of giant panda was predicted to shift 30 m higher due to climate change over this period; (3) the network of nature reserves protect 61.73% of current suitable habitat for the species, and 59.23% of future suitable habitat; (4) current suitable habitat mainly located in Chenggu, Taibai, and Yangxian counties (with a total area of 987 km(2)) was predicted to be vulnerable. Assessing the vulnerability of giant panda provided adaptive strategies for conservation programs and national park construction. We proposed adaptation strategies to ameliorate the predicted impacts of climate change on giant panda, including establishing and adjusting reserves, establishing habitat corridors, improving adaptive capacity to climate change, and strengthening monitoring of giant panda. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5468157 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2017 |
publisher | John Wiley and Sons Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-54681572017-06-14 Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China Li, Jia Liu, Fang Xue, Yadong Zhang, Yu Li, Diqiang Ecol Evol Original Research Climate change might pose an additional threat to the already vulnerable giant panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca). Effective conservation efforts require projections of vulnerability of the giant panda in facing climate change and proactive strategies to reduce emerging climate‐related threats. We used the maximum entropy model to assess the vulnerability of giant panda to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China. The results of modeling included the following findings: (1) the area of suitable habitat for giant pandas was projected to decrease by 281 km(2) from climate change by the 2050s; (2) the mean elevation of suitable habitat of giant panda was predicted to shift 30 m higher due to climate change over this period; (3) the network of nature reserves protect 61.73% of current suitable habitat for the species, and 59.23% of future suitable habitat; (4) current suitable habitat mainly located in Chenggu, Taibai, and Yangxian counties (with a total area of 987 km(2)) was predicted to be vulnerable. Assessing the vulnerability of giant panda provided adaptive strategies for conservation programs and national park construction. We proposed adaptation strategies to ameliorate the predicted impacts of climate change on giant panda, including establishing and adjusting reserves, establishing habitat corridors, improving adaptive capacity to climate change, and strengthening monitoring of giant panda. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2017-04-25 /pmc/articles/PMC5468157/ /pubmed/28616195 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.2981 Text en © 2017 The Authors. Ecology and Evolution published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Original Research Li, Jia Liu, Fang Xue, Yadong Zhang, Yu Li, Diqiang Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China |
title | Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China |
title_full | Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China |
title_fullStr | Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China |
title_full_unstemmed | Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China |
title_short | Assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the Qinling Mountains of China |
title_sort | assessing vulnerability of giant pandas to climate change in the qinling mountains of china |
topic | Original Research |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5468157/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28616195 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.2981 |
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