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Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model

Flexible spatio‐temporal models are widely used to create reliable and accurate estimates for precipitation climatologies. Most models are based on square root transformed monthly or annual means, where a normal distribution seems to be appropriate. This assumption becomes invalid on a daily time sc...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Stauffer, Reto, Mayr, Georg J., Messner, Jakob W., Umlauf, Nikolaus, Zeileis, Achim
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5488632/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28713200
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4913
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author Stauffer, Reto
Mayr, Georg J.
Messner, Jakob W.
Umlauf, Nikolaus
Zeileis, Achim
author_facet Stauffer, Reto
Mayr, Georg J.
Messner, Jakob W.
Umlauf, Nikolaus
Zeileis, Achim
author_sort Stauffer, Reto
collection PubMed
description Flexible spatio‐temporal models are widely used to create reliable and accurate estimates for precipitation climatologies. Most models are based on square root transformed monthly or annual means, where a normal distribution seems to be appropriate. This assumption becomes invalid on a daily time scale as the observations involve large fractions of zero observations and are limited to non‐negative values. We develop a novel spatio‐temporal model to estimate the full climatological distribution of precipitation on a daily time scale over complex terrain using a left‐censored normal distribution. The results demonstrate that the new method is able to account for the non‐normal distribution and the large fraction of zero observations. The new climatology provides the full climatological distribution on a very high spatial and temporal resolution, and is competitive with, or even outperforms existing methods, even for arbitrary locations.
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spelling pubmed-54886322017-07-13 Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model Stauffer, Reto Mayr, Georg J. Messner, Jakob W. Umlauf, Nikolaus Zeileis, Achim Int J Climatol Research Articles Flexible spatio‐temporal models are widely used to create reliable and accurate estimates for precipitation climatologies. Most models are based on square root transformed monthly or annual means, where a normal distribution seems to be appropriate. This assumption becomes invalid on a daily time scale as the observations involve large fractions of zero observations and are limited to non‐negative values. We develop a novel spatio‐temporal model to estimate the full climatological distribution of precipitation on a daily time scale over complex terrain using a left‐censored normal distribution. The results demonstrate that the new method is able to account for the non‐normal distribution and the large fraction of zero observations. The new climatology provides the full climatological distribution on a very high spatial and temporal resolution, and is competitive with, or even outperforms existing methods, even for arbitrary locations. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 2016-11-09 2017-06-15 /pmc/articles/PMC5488632/ /pubmed/28713200 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4913 Text en © 2016 The Authors. International Journal of Climatology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Articles
Stauffer, Reto
Mayr, Georg J.
Messner, Jakob W.
Umlauf, Nikolaus
Zeileis, Achim
Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model
title Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model
title_full Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model
title_fullStr Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model
title_full_unstemmed Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model
title_short Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model
title_sort spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model
topic Research Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5488632/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28713200
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.4913
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