Association of baseline, longitudinal serum high-sensitive C-reactive protein and its change with mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients

BACKGROUND: The prognostic values of baseline, longitudinal high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and its change over time on mortality in patients undergoing continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis (CAPD) remain uncertain. METHODS: We retrospectively studied 1228 consecutive CAPD patients from 2007 to 2012, and followed up through December 2014. Cox regression models were performed to assess the association of hs-CRP on outcomes using serum hs-CRP levels as: (1) stratified by tertile of baseline or longitudinal hs-CRP levels; (2) baseline or longitudinal hs-CRP levels as continuous variables; and (3) categorized by tertile of slopes of hs-CRP change per year for each subject. RESULTS: Higher baseline hs-CRP levels were not associated with clinical outcomes after adjustment for potential confounders. However, patients with the upper tertile of longitudinal hs-CRP had a nearly twice-fold increased risk of both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.77; (95% CI 1.16–2.70) and 2.08 (1.17–3.71), respectively], as compared with those with lower tertile. Results were similar when baseline or longitudinal hs-CRP was assessed as continuous variable. Additionally, the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with increased trend in serum hs-CRP levels over time (tertile 3) was significantly higher [adjusted HR 2.48 (1.58–3.87) and 1.99 (1.11–3.56), respectively] when compared to those with relatively stable hs-CRP levels during follow-up period. These associations persisted after excluding subjects with less than 1-year follow up. CONCLUSIONS: Higher longitudinal serum hs-CRP levels and its elevated trend over time, but not baseline levels were predictive of worse prognosis among CAPD patients.