PAM50 gene signatures and breast cancer prognosis with adjuvant anthracycline- and taxane-based chemotherapy: correlative analysis of C9741 (Alliance)

PAM50 intrinsic breast cancer subtypes are prognostic independent of standard clinicopathologic factors. CALGB 9741 demonstrated improved recurrence-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) with 2-weekly dose-dense (DD) versus 3-weekly therapy. A significant interaction between intrinsic subtypes and DD-therapy benefit was hypothesized. Suitable tumor samples were available from 1,471 (73%) of 2,005 subjects. Multiplexed gene-expression profiling generated the PAM50 subtype call, proliferation score, and risk of recurrence score (ROR-PT) for the evaluable subset of 1,311 treated patients. The interaction between DD-therapy benefit and intrinsic subtype was tested in a Cox proportional hazards model using two-sided alpha=0.05. Additional multivariable Cox models evaluated the proliferation and ROR-PT scores as continuous measures with selected clinical covariates. Improved outcomes for DD therapy in the evaluable subset mirrored results from the complete data set (RFS; hazard ratio=1.20; 95% confidence interval=0.99–1.44) with 12.3-year median follow-up. Intrinsic subtypes were prognostic of RFS (P<0.0001) irrespective of treatment assignment. No subtype-specific treatment effect on RFS was identified (interaction P=0.44). Proliferation and ROR-PT scores were prognostic for RFS (both P<0.0001), but no association with treatment benefit was seen (P=0.14 and 0.59, respectively). Results were similar for OS. The prognostic value of PAM50 intrinsic subtype was greater than estrogen receptor/HER2 immunohistochemistry classification. PAM50 gene signatures were highly prognostic but did not predict for improved outcomes with DD anthracycline- and taxane-based therapy. Clinical validation studies will assess the ability of PAM50 and other gene signatures to stratify patients and individualize treatment based on expected risks of distant recurrence.