Cargando…
The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies
The role of spatial arrangements on the spread and management strategies of a cholera epidemic is investigated. We consider the effect of human and pathogen movement on optimal vaccination strategies. A metapopulation model is used, incorporating a susceptible–infected–recovered system of differenti...
Autores principales: | , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
2016
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5504920/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26981710 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2016.1156172 |
_version_ | 1783249375246417920 |
---|---|
author | Kelly, Michael R. Tien, Joseph H. Eisenberg, Marisa C. Lenhart, Suzanne |
author_facet | Kelly, Michael R. Tien, Joseph H. Eisenberg, Marisa C. Lenhart, Suzanne |
author_sort | Kelly, Michael R. |
collection | PubMed |
description | The role of spatial arrangements on the spread and management strategies of a cholera epidemic is investigated. We consider the effect of human and pathogen movement on optimal vaccination strategies. A metapopulation model is used, incorporating a susceptible–infected–recovered system of differential equations coupled with an equation modelling the concentration of Vibrio cholerae in an aquatic reservoir. The model compared spatial arrangements and varying scenarios to draw conclusions on how to effectively manage outbreaks. The work is motivated by the 2010 cholera outbreak in Haiti. Results give guidance for vaccination strategies in response to an outbreak. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5504920 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2016 |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-55049202017-07-11 The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies Kelly, Michael R. Tien, Joseph H. Eisenberg, Marisa C. Lenhart, Suzanne J Biol Dyn Article The role of spatial arrangements on the spread and management strategies of a cholera epidemic is investigated. We consider the effect of human and pathogen movement on optimal vaccination strategies. A metapopulation model is used, incorporating a susceptible–infected–recovered system of differential equations coupled with an equation modelling the concentration of Vibrio cholerae in an aquatic reservoir. The model compared spatial arrangements and varying scenarios to draw conclusions on how to effectively manage outbreaks. The work is motivated by the 2010 cholera outbreak in Haiti. Results give guidance for vaccination strategies in response to an outbreak. 2016 /pmc/articles/PMC5504920/ /pubmed/26981710 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2016.1156172 Text en http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Article Kelly, Michael R. Tien, Joseph H. Eisenberg, Marisa C. Lenhart, Suzanne The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies |
title | The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies |
title_full | The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies |
title_fullStr | The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies |
title_full_unstemmed | The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies |
title_short | The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies |
title_sort | impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5504920/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26981710 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2016.1156172 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT kellymichaelr theimpactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies AT tienjosephh theimpactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies AT eisenbergmarisac theimpactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies AT lenhartsuzanne theimpactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies AT kellymichaelr impactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies AT tienjosephh impactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies AT eisenbergmarisac impactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies AT lenhartsuzanne impactofspatialarrangementsonepidemicdiseasedynamicsandinterventionstrategies |