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Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia

Extreme rainfall events in East Asia can be derived from the two subcomponents of tropical cyclones (TC) and non-TC based rainfall (mostly summer monsoons). Critical natural hazards including floods and landslides occur repeatedly due to the heavy rainfall associated with the two subcomponents, and...

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Autores principales: Son, Chanyoung, Lee, Taesam, Kwon, Hyun-han
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5506020/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28698565
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-04629-1
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author Son, Chanyoung
Lee, Taesam
Kwon, Hyun-han
author_facet Son, Chanyoung
Lee, Taesam
Kwon, Hyun-han
author_sort Son, Chanyoung
collection PubMed
description Extreme rainfall events in East Asia can be derived from the two subcomponents of tropical cyclones (TC) and non-TC based rainfall (mostly summer monsoons). Critical natural hazards including floods and landslides occur repeatedly due to the heavy rainfall associated with the two subcomponents, and disaster losses are increasing because global warming has caused changes in the extreme rainfall characteristics of two subcomponents. Subsequently, the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall have reportedly become nonstationary. The majority of literature on nonstationary frequency analyses do not account for the different behaviors (stationarity or nonstationarity) of annual maximum rainfall (AMR) from the two subcomponents (PM (TC) and PM (NTC)). To carry out a nonstationary frequency analysis considering the different behaviors of the PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series, this study proposes a novel approach of integrating the fitted PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series after modeling the nonstationarity of the PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series individually. The presented results conclude that the proposed approach provides more reliable estimates than existing nonstationary approaches by reflecting the different features of the PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series. We suggest that the proposed approach provides a reasonable design rainfall in constructing hydraulics to mitigate the different nonstationary effects of two TC and non-TC rainfall extremes.
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spelling pubmed-55060202017-07-13 Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia Son, Chanyoung Lee, Taesam Kwon, Hyun-han Sci Rep Article Extreme rainfall events in East Asia can be derived from the two subcomponents of tropical cyclones (TC) and non-TC based rainfall (mostly summer monsoons). Critical natural hazards including floods and landslides occur repeatedly due to the heavy rainfall associated with the two subcomponents, and disaster losses are increasing because global warming has caused changes in the extreme rainfall characteristics of two subcomponents. Subsequently, the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall have reportedly become nonstationary. The majority of literature on nonstationary frequency analyses do not account for the different behaviors (stationarity or nonstationarity) of annual maximum rainfall (AMR) from the two subcomponents (PM (TC) and PM (NTC)). To carry out a nonstationary frequency analysis considering the different behaviors of the PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series, this study proposes a novel approach of integrating the fitted PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series after modeling the nonstationarity of the PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series individually. The presented results conclude that the proposed approach provides more reliable estimates than existing nonstationary approaches by reflecting the different features of the PM (TC) and PM (NTC) series. We suggest that the proposed approach provides a reasonable design rainfall in constructing hydraulics to mitigate the different nonstationary effects of two TC and non-TC rainfall extremes. Nature Publishing Group UK 2017-07-11 /pmc/articles/PMC5506020/ /pubmed/28698565 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-04629-1 Text en © The Author(s) 2017 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Son, Chanyoung
Lee, Taesam
Kwon, Hyun-han
Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia
title Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia
title_full Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia
title_fullStr Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia
title_full_unstemmed Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia
title_short Integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in East Asia
title_sort integrating nonstationary behaviors of typhoon and non-typhoon extreme rainfall events in east asia
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5506020/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28698565
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-04629-1
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