Cargando…

Mean Bias in Seasonal Forecast Model and ENSO Prediction Error

This study uses retrospective forecasts made using an APEC Climate Center seasonal forecast model to investigate the cause of errors in predicting the amplitude of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-driven sea surface temperature variability. When utilizing Bjerknes coupled stability (BJ) index ana...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Kim, Seon Tae, Jeong, Hye-In, Jin, Fei-Fei
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Nature Publishing Group UK 2017
Materias:	Article
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5519555/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28729610 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-05221-3

Ejemplares similares

Monthly ENSO Forecast Skill and Lagged Ensemble Size
por: Trenary, L., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

How do the strength and type of ENSO affect SST predictability in coupled models
por: Sohn, Soo-Jin, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Toward a better multi-model ensemble prediction of East Asian and Australasian precipitation during non-mature ENSO seasons
por: Sohn, Soo-Jin, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

The NAO Variability Prediction and Forecasting with Multiple Time Scales Driven by ENSO Using Machine Learning Approaches
por: Mu, Bin, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

A Structural Equation Model Analysis of Relationships among ENSO, Seasonal Descriptors and Wildfires
por: Slocum, Matthew G., et al.
Publicado: (2013)

Predictable Components of ENSO Evolution in Real-time Multi-Model Predictions
por: Zheng, Zhihai, et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Temporal Convolutional Networks for the Advance Prediction of ENSO
por: Yan, Jining, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Enhancing the ENSO Predictability beyond the Spring Barrier
por: Chen, Han-Ching, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Variability of ENSO Forecast Skill in 2‐Year Global Reforecasts Over the 20th Century
por: Weisheimer, Antje, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 and CMIP6: characteristics, biases, and links to ENSO
por: McKenna, Sebastian, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

East Asian Winter Monsoon Impacts the ENSO-related Teleconnections and North American Seasonal Air Temperature Prediction
por: Ma, Tianjiao, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Impacts of IOD, ENSO and ENSO Modoki on the Australian Winter Wheat Yields in Recent Decades
por: Yuan, Chaoxia, et al.
Publicado: (2015)

Impact of equatorial Atlantic variability on ENSO predictive skill
por: Exarchou, Eleftheria, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Mean sea surface temperature changes influence ENSO-related precipitation changes in the mid-latitudes
por: Yang, Young-Min, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The atmospheric electrical index for ENSO modoki: Is ENSO modoki one of the factors responsible for the warming trend slowdown?
por: Kulkarni, Madhuri N., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Forecasting of Milk Production in Northern Thailand Using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, Error Trend Seasonality, and Hybrid Models
por: Punyapornwithaya, Veerasak, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

A Modal Rendition of ENSO Diversity
por: Chattopadhyay, Rajib, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Phenological Responses to ENSO in the Global Oceans
por: Racault, M.-F., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

ENSO modulates wildfire activity in China
por: Fang, Keyan, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

The influence of pacific winds on ENSO diversity
por: Capotondi, Antonietta, et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Model selection for seasonal influenza forecasting
por: Zarebski, Alexander E., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Recent ENSO evolution and its real-time prediction challenges
por: Zhang, Rong-Hua, et al.
Publicado: (2022)

Secular Seasonality and Trend Forecasting of Tuberculosis Incidence Rate in China Using the Advanced Error-Trend-Seasonal Framework
por: Wang, Yongbin, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

Modeling ENSO impact on rice production in the Mekong River Delta
por: Tan Yen, Bui, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Deterministic skill of ENSO predictions from the North American Multimodel Ensemble
por: Barnston, Anthony G., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

Predictability of US West Coast Ocean Temperatures is not solely due to ENSO
por: Capotondi, Antonietta, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Addressing model error through atmospheric stochastic physical parametrizations: impact on the coupled ECMWF seasonal forecasting system
por: Weisheimer, Antje, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Factors affecting ENSO predictability in a linear empirical model of tropical air-sea interactions
por: Rashid, Harun A.
Publicado: (2020)

Salinity anomaly as a trigger for ENSO events
por: Zhu, Jieshun, et al.
Publicado: (2014)

ENSO impacts child undernutrition in the global tropics
por: Anttila-Hughes, Jesse K., et al.
Publicado: (2021)

Long-lead Prediction of ENSO Modoki Index using Machine Learning algorithms
por: Pal, Manali, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

A 200-year annually laminated stalagmite record of precipitation seasonality in southeastern China and its linkages to ENSO and PDO
por: Zhang, Haiwei, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Predicting optimum crop designs using crop models and seasonal climate forecasts
por: Rodriguez, D., et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Double Tropopauses and the Tropical Belt Connected to ENSO
por: Wilhelmsen, Hallgeir, et al.
Publicado: (2020)

The contribution of super typhoons to tropical cyclone activity in response to ENSO
por: Kang, Nam-Young, et al.
Publicado: (2019)

Complex picture for likelihood of ENSO-driven flood hazard
por: Emerton, R., et al.
Publicado: (2017)

ENSO’s far reaching connection to Indian cold waves
por: Ratnam, J. V., et al.
Publicado: (2016)

Dynamical and Thermodynamical Influences of the Maritime Continent on ENSO Evolution
por: Zhang, Tuantuan, et al.
Publicado: (2018)

Nonstationary footprints of ENSO in the Mekong River Delta hydrology
por: Watanabe, Takaaki K., et al.
Publicado: (2022)

On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts
por: Weisheimer, A., et al.
Publicado: (2014)

Cannot write session to /tmp/vufind_sessions/sess_hdllts1c2bt53s6sfig4gaol6p