Peripheral blood lymphocytes immunophenotyping predicts disease activity in clinically isolated syndrome patients

BACKGROUND: Clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) represents first neurological symptoms suggestive of demyelinating lesion in the central nervous system (CNS). Currently, there are no sufficient immunological or genetic markers predicting relapse and disability progression, nor there is evidence of the efficacy of registered disease modifying treatments (DMTs), such as intramuscular interferon beta1a. The aim of the study is to evaluate immunological predictors of a relapse or disability progression. METHODS: One hundred and eighty one patients with CIS were treated with interferon beta1a and followed over the period of 4 years. Lymphocyte subsets were analyzed by flow cytometry. A Kaplan-Meier estimator of survival probability was used to analyze prognosis. For statistical assessment only individual differences between baseline values and values at the time of relapse or confirmed disability progression were analysed. RESULTS: Higher levels of B lymphocytes predicted relapse-free status. On the other hand, a decrease of the naïve subset of cells (CD45RA+ in CD4+) after 12, 24, and 36 months of follow-up were associated with an increased risk of confirmed disability progression. Conclusion: Our data suggest that the quantification of lymphocyte subsets in patients after the first demyelinating event suggestive of MS may be an important biomarker.