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Prediction of the Cancer Incidence in Nepal

BACKGROUND: The burden of cancer will increase both in males and females in Nepal. Due to the unavailability of a population based cancer registry it is difficult to precisely predict of future incidence rates. However, using hospital-based data to predict the cancer incidence in Nepal it was found...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Poudel, Krishna Kanta, Huang, Zhibi, Neupane, Prakash Raj, Steel, Roberta
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: West Asia Organization for Cancer Prevention 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5563094/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28240512
http://dx.doi.org/10.22034/APJCP.2017.18.1.165
Descripción
Sumario:BACKGROUND: The burden of cancer will increase both in males and females in Nepal. Due to the unavailability of a population based cancer registry it is difficult to precisely predict of future incidence rates. However, using hospital-based data to predict the cancer incidence in Nepal it was found that it will certainly increase both in males and females from 2013 to 2020. MATERIAL AND METHODS: For this research we used the cases from the first national cancer registry report (2003) to the cases of the most recent (2012) accumulated by all the hospital based cancer registries in Nepal. We used simple linear regression to analyze the data and thereby obtained a simple linear regression equation. RESULT: In 2020 the highest incidence rate will be for males 38.5 per 100,000 and for females, 41.4. The present study demonstrated that female cancer incidence will be higher than that in males in Nepal. CONCLUSION: This study provided evidence of future trends, which will feature an increasing rate of cancer in Nepal.