Estimating prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction using personalized computational heart models

Biomechanical computational models have potential prognostic utility in patients after an acute ST-segment–elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). In a proof-of-concept study, we defined two groups (1) an acute STEMI group (n = 6, 83% male, age 54 ± 12 years) complicated by left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction; (2) an age- and sex- matched hyper-control group (n = 6, 83% male, age 46 ± 14 years), no prior history of cardiovascular disease and normal systolic blood pressure (SBP < 130 mmHg). Cardiac MRI was performed in the patients (2 days & 6 months post-STEMI) and the volunteers, and biomechanical heart models were synthesized for each subject. The candidate parameters included normalized active tension (AT (norm)) and active tension at the resting sarcomere length (T (req), reflecting required contractility). Myocardial contractility was inversely determined from personalized heart models by matching CMR-imaged LV dynamics. Compared with controls, patients with recent STEMI exhibited increased LV wall active tension when normalized by SBP. We observed a linear relationship between T (req) 2 days post-MI and global longitudinal strain 6 months later (r = 0.86; p = 0.03). T (req) may be associated with changes in LV function in the longer term in STEMI patients complicated by LV dysfunction. Further studies seem warranted.