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A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan

AIM: This research aimed to propose a logistic regression model for Japanese blunt trauma victims. METHODS: We tested whether the logistic regression model previously created from data registered in the Japan Trauma Data Bank between 2005 and 2008 is still valid for the data from the same data bank...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Suzuki, Takaaki, Kimura, Akio, Sasaki, Ryo, Uemura, Tatsuki
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2016
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5667296/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29123836
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ams2.228
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author Suzuki, Takaaki
Kimura, Akio
Sasaki, Ryo
Uemura, Tatsuki
author_facet Suzuki, Takaaki
Kimura, Akio
Sasaki, Ryo
Uemura, Tatsuki
author_sort Suzuki, Takaaki
collection PubMed
description AIM: This research aimed to propose a logistic regression model for Japanese blunt trauma victims. METHODS: We tested whether the logistic regression model previously created from data registered in the Japan Trauma Data Bank between 2005 and 2008 is still valid for the data from the same data bank between 2009 and 2013. Additionally, we analyzed whether the model would be highly accurate even when its coefficients were rounded off to two decimal places. RESULTS: The model was proved to be highly accurate (94.56%) in the recent data (2009–2013). We also showed that the model remains valid without respiratory rate data and the simplified model would maintain high accuracy. CONCLUSION: We propose the equation of survival prediction of blunt trauma victims in Japan to be Ps = 1/(1+e(−b)), where b = −0.76 + 1.03 × Revised Trauma Score − 0.07 × Injury Severity Score − 0.04 × age.
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spelling pubmed-56672962017-11-09 A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan Suzuki, Takaaki Kimura, Akio Sasaki, Ryo Uemura, Tatsuki Acute Med Surg Original Articles AIM: This research aimed to propose a logistic regression model for Japanese blunt trauma victims. METHODS: We tested whether the logistic regression model previously created from data registered in the Japan Trauma Data Bank between 2005 and 2008 is still valid for the data from the same data bank between 2009 and 2013. Additionally, we analyzed whether the model would be highly accurate even when its coefficients were rounded off to two decimal places. RESULTS: The model was proved to be highly accurate (94.56%) in the recent data (2009–2013). We also showed that the model remains valid without respiratory rate data and the simplified model would maintain high accuracy. CONCLUSION: We propose the equation of survival prediction of blunt trauma victims in Japan to be Ps = 1/(1+e(−b)), where b = −0.76 + 1.03 × Revised Trauma Score − 0.07 × Injury Severity Score − 0.04 × age. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2016-07-19 /pmc/articles/PMC5667296/ /pubmed/29123836 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ams2.228 Text en © 2016 The Authors. Acute Medicine & Surgery published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of Japanese Association for Acute Medicine. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial‐NoDerivs (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
spellingShingle Original Articles
Suzuki, Takaaki
Kimura, Akio
Sasaki, Ryo
Uemura, Tatsuki
A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan
title A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan
title_full A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan
title_fullStr A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan
title_full_unstemmed A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan
title_short A survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in Japan
title_sort survival prediction logistic regression models for blunt trauma victims in japan
topic Original Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5667296/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29123836
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ams2.228
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