Microalbuminuria as a simple predictor of incident diabetes over 8 years in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES)

Microalbuminuria (MAU) is a common subclinical disease and related with cardiovascular outcome both in diabetic and non-diabetic patients. However, there is rare data about the effect of MAU on the development of diabetes. Thus, we aimed to investigate whether MAU is associated with the development of incident diabetes. A total of 3385 subjects without diabetes (1503 men and 1882 women; mean age, 53 years) who participated in the Ansung–Ansan cohort study from 2001–2002 (baseline) to 2011–2012 (fifth follow-up visit) were followed for a mean of 8 years. The prevalence of MAU at baseline was 10.8% (365 patients), and the incidence of newly developed diabetes during the follow-up period was 15.3% (56 patients) in subjects with MAU. The hazard ratio (HR) for development of diabetes was 1.43 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07–1.91, p-value 0.016), independent of traditional risk factors for diabetes including pre-diabetes, age, obesity, and family history. The impact of MAU on diabetes was also significant in the non-pre-diabetic population (HR 2.08, 95% CI 1.07–4.03, p-value 0.031). In conclusion, our results show that incident MAU is associated with future development of diabetes and could be an early marker for diabetes, even in the non-prediabetic population.