Two-year mortality in survivors of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A North Indian study

OBJECTIVES: Data about long-term mortality of Indian patients following acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) are scant. We set out to study the 2-year mortality in north Indian patients following discharge after AECOPD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One hundred and fifty-one (96 male) patients admitted for AECOPD and discharged were followed for 2 years at 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months for mortality. Statistical analysis was performed to identify risk factors associated with mortality. RESULTS: Sixty (39.7%) of the 151 recruited died during the 24 months of follow-up, 30 (19.8%) at 3-month, 43 (28.5%) at 6-month, 49 (32.4%) at 1-year, 55 (36.4%) at 18-month, and 60 (39.7%) at 2 years. There was no mortality in Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) Stage I (0 of 6 cases), whereas it was 12.3% (n = 8 of 65 patients) in GOLD Stage II, 41.7% (n = 15 of 36 cases), in GOLD Stage III, and 84.1% (n = 37 of 4 cases), of patients with GOLD Stage IV. Mortality was associated with 6-min walk distance, oxygen saturation, low body mass index, history of congestive heart failure, and St. George Respiratory Questionnaire score. CONCLUSION: Indian patients discharged after AECOPD have a high 2-year mortality. Measures to reduce the frequency of exacerbations need to be routinely adopted in patients with COPD.