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Individual versus superensemble forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks in the United States

Recent research has produced a number of methods for forecasting seasonal influenza outbreaks. However, differences among the predicted outcomes of competing forecast methods can limit their use in decision-making. Here, we present a method for reconciling these differences using Bayesian model aver...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Yamana, Teresa K., Kandula, Sasikiran, Shaman, Jeffrey
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5690687/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29107987
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005801

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