Postoperative aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio index change is an independent predictor of survival in patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma

Elevated preoperative aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) is reported to be a prognostic factor for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after treatment. However, [DELTA] ALRI which represents the change from postoperative ALRI to preoperative ALRI change has received little attention. The present study was designed to evaluate the prognostic value of [DELTA] ALRI in small HCC patients after liver resection. A retrospective cohort study was performed to analyze 241 patients with small HCC who underwent liver resection. Patients were divided into Group A ([DELTA] ALRI < 0, n = 142) and group B ([DELTA] ALRI ≥ 0, n = 99) according to postoperative ALRI change. Clinical data, overall survival (OS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared between the 2 groups, and a multivariate analysis was used to identify prognostic factors. The 1, 3, and 5-year OS rates were 96.5%, 84.9%, and 70.8%, respectively, for group A, and 94.9%, 75.8%, and 59.7%, respectively for group B (P = .014). The corresponding 1, 3, and 5-year RFS rates were 78.2%, 54.6%, and 52.3%, respectively, for group A, and 62.6%, 40.1%, 24.5%, respectively, for group B (P < .001). The results of univariate and multivariate analysis indicated that [DELTA] ALRI was an independent prognostic factor for both RFS (P < .001, hazard ratio [HR] 2.192, 95% confidence interval 1.527–3.147) and OS (P < .001, HR 2.381, 95% confidence interval 1.503–3.771). A positive [DELTA] ALRI after liver resection predicts decreased OS and RFS in patients with small HCC.