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Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017

Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all...

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Autores principales: Tsuzuki, Shinya, Lee, Hyojung, Miura, Fuminari, Chan, Yat Hin, Jung, Sung-mok, Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R, Nishiura, Hiroshi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5718396/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29162211
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710
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author Tsuzuki, Shinya
Lee, Hyojung
Miura, Fuminari
Chan, Yat Hin
Jung, Sung-mok
Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R
Nishiura, Hiroshi
author_facet Tsuzuki, Shinya
Lee, Hyojung
Miura, Fuminari
Chan, Yat Hin
Jung, Sung-mok
Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R
Nishiura, Hiroshi
author_sort Tsuzuki, Shinya
collection PubMed
description Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017.
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spelling pubmed-57183962017-12-14 Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017 Tsuzuki, Shinya Lee, Hyojung Miura, Fuminari Chan, Yat Hin Jung, Sung-mok Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R Nishiura, Hiroshi Euro Surveill Rapid Communication Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2017-11-16 /pmc/articles/PMC5718396/ /pubmed/29162211 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710 Text en This article is copyright of The Authors, 2017. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Rapid Communication
Tsuzuki, Shinya
Lee, Hyojung
Miura, Fuminari
Chan, Yat Hin
Jung, Sung-mok
Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R
Nishiura, Hiroshi
Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
title Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
title_full Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
title_fullStr Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
title_full_unstemmed Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
title_short Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
title_sort dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in madagascar, august to october 2017
topic Rapid Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5718396/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29162211
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710
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