Low Plasma Adiponectin Concentrations Predict Increases in Visceral Adiposity and Insulin Resistance

CONTEXT: Plasma adiponectin concentration has been shown to be inversely associated with body mass index (BMI) and insulin resistance in cross-sectional research. However, it is unclear whether adiponectin predicts future body composition and insulin resistance. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate the potential relationship between adiponectin concentration and future regional body fat distribution and insulin resistance. DESIGN AND SETTING: This was a community-based prospective cohort study with 5 years of follow-up. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 218 Japanese Americans without diabetes (79 men, 139 women, mean age 51.7 ± 10.1 years) were assessed at baseline and after 5 years of follow-up. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Abdominal visceral and subcutaneous fat area and thigh subcutaneous fat area were measured by computed tomography (CT). Insulin resistance was evaluated by homeostasis model assessment 2 of insulin resistance (HOMA2-IR). Plasma total adiponectin was measured by radioimmunoassay. RESULTS: Baseline adiponectin was inversely associated with abdominal visceral fat area (P = 0.037) and HOMA2-IR (P = 0.002) at 5 years in a multiple linear regression model after adjustment for baseline traits (including age, sex, BMI, abdominal visceral fat area, abdominal subcutaneous fat area, thigh subcutaneous fat area, HOMA2-IR) and weight change. However, no association was seen between baseline adiponectin concentration and BMI or other CT-measured regional fat depots at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Low plasma adiponectin concentration independently predicted future abdominal visceral fat accumulation and increased insulin resistance in Japanese Americans.