Long-term prognosis for 1-year relapse-free survivors of CD34 cell–selected allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation: a landmark analysis

CD34 selection significantly improves GVHD-free survival in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). Specific information regarding long-term prognosis and risk factors for late mortality after CD34-selected allo-HSCT is lacking, however. We conducted a single-center landmark analysis in 276 patients alive without relapse 1 year after CD34-selected allo-HSCT for AML (n=164), ALL (n=33), or MDS (n=79). At 5 years' follow-up after the 1-year landmark (range 0.03-13 years), estimated RFS was 73% and OS 76%. The 5-year cumulative incidence of relapse and NRM were 11% and 16%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, HCT-CI score ≥ 3 correlated with marginally worse RFS (HR 1.78, 95% CI 0.97-3.28, p=0.06) and significantly worse OS (HR 2.53, 95% CI 1.26-5.08, p=0.004). Despite only 24% of patients with acute GVHD within 1 year, this also significantly correlated with worse RFS and OS, with increasing grades of acute GVHD associating with increasingly poorer survival on multivariate analysis (p<0.0001). Of 63 deaths after the landmark, GVHD accounted for 27% of deaths and was the most common cause of late mortality, followed by relapse and infection. While prognosis is excellent for patients alive without relapse 1 year after CD34-selected allo-HSCT, risks of late relapse and NRM persist, particularly due to GVHD.