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Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa

BACKGROUND: A maternal group B streptococcal (GBS) vaccine could prevent neonatal sepsis and meningitis. Its cost-effectiveness in low-income sub-Saharan Africa, a high burden region, is unknown. METHODS: We used a decision tree model, with Markov nodes to project infants’ lifetimes, to compare mate...

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Autores principales: Russell, Louise B., Kim, Sun-Young, Cosgriff, Ben, Pentakota, Sri Ram, Schrag, Stephanie J., Sobanjo-ter Meulen, Ajoke, Verani, Jennifer R., Sinha, Anushua
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Science 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5723707/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29129451
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.07.108
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author Russell, Louise B.
Kim, Sun-Young
Cosgriff, Ben
Pentakota, Sri Ram
Schrag, Stephanie J.
Sobanjo-ter Meulen, Ajoke
Verani, Jennifer R.
Sinha, Anushua
author_facet Russell, Louise B.
Kim, Sun-Young
Cosgriff, Ben
Pentakota, Sri Ram
Schrag, Stephanie J.
Sobanjo-ter Meulen, Ajoke
Verani, Jennifer R.
Sinha, Anushua
author_sort Russell, Louise B.
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: A maternal group B streptococcal (GBS) vaccine could prevent neonatal sepsis and meningitis. Its cost-effectiveness in low-income sub-Saharan Africa, a high burden region, is unknown. METHODS: We used a decision tree model, with Markov nodes to project infants’ lifetimes, to compare maternal immunization delivered through routine antenatal care with no immunization. 37 countries were clustered on the basis of economic and health resources and past public health performance. Vaccine efficacy for covered serotypes was ranged from 50% to 90%. The model projected EOGBS (early-onset) and LOGBS (late-onset) cases and deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), healthcare costs (2014 US$), and cost-effectiveness for a representative country in each of the four clusters: Guinea-Bissau, Uganda, Nigeria, and Ghana. Maximum vaccination costs/dose were estimated to meet two cost-effectiveness benchmarks, 0.5 GDP and GDP per capita/DALY, for ranges of disease incidence (reported and adjusted for under-reporting) and vaccine efficacy. RESULTS: At coverage equal to the proportion of pregnant women with ≥ 4 antenatal visits (ANC4) and serotype-specific vaccine efficacy of 70%, maternal GBS immunization would prevent one-third of GBS cases and deaths in Uganda and Nigeria, where ANC4 is 50%, 42–43% in Guinea-Bissau (ANC4 = 65%), and 55–57% in Ghana (ANC4 = 87%). At a vaccination cost of $7/dose, maternal immunization would cost $320-$350/DALY averted in Guinea-Bissau, Nigeria, and Ghana, less than half these countries’ GDP per capita. In Uganda, which has the lowest case fatality ratios, the cost would be $573/DALY. If the vaccine prevents a small proportion of stillbirths, it would be even more cost-effective. Vaccination cost/dose, disease incidence, and case fatality were key drivers of cost/DALY in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Maternal GBS immunization could be a cost-effective intervention in low-income sub-Saharan Africa, with cost-effectiveness ratios similar to other recently introduced vaccines. The vaccination cost at which introduction is cost-effective depends on disease incidence and vaccine efficacy. Clinical Trial registry name and registration number: Not applicable.
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spelling pubmed-57237072017-12-18 Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa Russell, Louise B. Kim, Sun-Young Cosgriff, Ben Pentakota, Sri Ram Schrag, Stephanie J. Sobanjo-ter Meulen, Ajoke Verani, Jennifer R. Sinha, Anushua Vaccine Article BACKGROUND: A maternal group B streptococcal (GBS) vaccine could prevent neonatal sepsis and meningitis. Its cost-effectiveness in low-income sub-Saharan Africa, a high burden region, is unknown. METHODS: We used a decision tree model, with Markov nodes to project infants’ lifetimes, to compare maternal immunization delivered through routine antenatal care with no immunization. 37 countries were clustered on the basis of economic and health resources and past public health performance. Vaccine efficacy for covered serotypes was ranged from 50% to 90%. The model projected EOGBS (early-onset) and LOGBS (late-onset) cases and deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), healthcare costs (2014 US$), and cost-effectiveness for a representative country in each of the four clusters: Guinea-Bissau, Uganda, Nigeria, and Ghana. Maximum vaccination costs/dose were estimated to meet two cost-effectiveness benchmarks, 0.5 GDP and GDP per capita/DALY, for ranges of disease incidence (reported and adjusted for under-reporting) and vaccine efficacy. RESULTS: At coverage equal to the proportion of pregnant women with ≥ 4 antenatal visits (ANC4) and serotype-specific vaccine efficacy of 70%, maternal GBS immunization would prevent one-third of GBS cases and deaths in Uganda and Nigeria, where ANC4 is 50%, 42–43% in Guinea-Bissau (ANC4 = 65%), and 55–57% in Ghana (ANC4 = 87%). At a vaccination cost of $7/dose, maternal immunization would cost $320-$350/DALY averted in Guinea-Bissau, Nigeria, and Ghana, less than half these countries’ GDP per capita. In Uganda, which has the lowest case fatality ratios, the cost would be $573/DALY. If the vaccine prevents a small proportion of stillbirths, it would be even more cost-effective. Vaccination cost/dose, disease incidence, and case fatality were key drivers of cost/DALY in sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION: Maternal GBS immunization could be a cost-effective intervention in low-income sub-Saharan Africa, with cost-effectiveness ratios similar to other recently introduced vaccines. The vaccination cost at which introduction is cost-effective depends on disease incidence and vaccine efficacy. Clinical Trial registry name and registration number: Not applicable. Elsevier Science 2017-12-14 /pmc/articles/PMC5723707/ /pubmed/29129451 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.07.108 Text en © 2017 The Authors http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Russell, Louise B.
Kim, Sun-Young
Cosgriff, Ben
Pentakota, Sri Ram
Schrag, Stephanie J.
Sobanjo-ter Meulen, Ajoke
Verani, Jennifer R.
Sinha, Anushua
Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa
title Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa
title_full Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa
title_fullStr Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa
title_full_unstemmed Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa
title_short Cost-effectiveness of maternal GBS immunization in low-income sub-Saharan Africa
title_sort cost-effectiveness of maternal gbs immunization in low-income sub-saharan africa
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5723707/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29129451
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.07.108
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