Cargando…

Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks

Critical transitions of complex systems can often be predicted by so-called early-warning signals (EWS). In some cases, however, such signals cannot be detected although a critical transition is imminent. Observing a relation of EWS-detectability and the network topology in which the system is imple...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Jäger, Georg, Hofer, Christian, Kapeller, Marie, Füllsack, Manfred
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5734744/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29253905
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0189853
_version_ 1783287096943837184
author Jäger, Georg
Hofer, Christian
Kapeller, Marie
Füllsack, Manfred
author_facet Jäger, Georg
Hofer, Christian
Kapeller, Marie
Füllsack, Manfred
author_sort Jäger, Georg
collection PubMed
description Critical transitions of complex systems can often be predicted by so-called early-warning signals (EWS). In some cases, however, such signals cannot be detected although a critical transition is imminent. Observing a relation of EWS-detectability and the network topology in which the system is implemented, we simulate and investigate scale-free networks and identify which networks show, and which do not show EWS in the framework of a two state system that exhibits critical transitions. Additionally, we adapt our approach by examining the effective state of the system, rather than its natural state, and conclude that this transformation can reveal hidden EWS in networks where those signals are otherwise obscured by a complex topology.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-5734744
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2017
publisher Public Library of Science
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-57347442017-12-22 Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks Jäger, Georg Hofer, Christian Kapeller, Marie Füllsack, Manfred PLoS One Research Article Critical transitions of complex systems can often be predicted by so-called early-warning signals (EWS). In some cases, however, such signals cannot be detected although a critical transition is imminent. Observing a relation of EWS-detectability and the network topology in which the system is implemented, we simulate and investigate scale-free networks and identify which networks show, and which do not show EWS in the framework of a two state system that exhibits critical transitions. Additionally, we adapt our approach by examining the effective state of the system, rather than its natural state, and conclude that this transformation can reveal hidden EWS in networks where those signals are otherwise obscured by a complex topology. Public Library of Science 2017-12-18 /pmc/articles/PMC5734744/ /pubmed/29253905 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0189853 Text en © 2017 Jäger et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Jäger, Georg
Hofer, Christian
Kapeller, Marie
Füllsack, Manfred
Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks
title Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks
title_full Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks
title_fullStr Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks
title_full_unstemmed Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks
title_short Hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks
title_sort hidden early-warning signals in scale-free networks
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5734744/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29253905
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0189853
work_keys_str_mv AT jagergeorg hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks
AT hoferchristian hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks
AT kapellermarie hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks
AT fullsackmanfred hiddenearlywarningsignalsinscalefreenetworks