Validation and optimization of the Systemic Inflammation-Based modified Glasgow Prognostic Score in predicting postoperative outcome of inflammatory bowel disease: preliminary data

Systemic Inflammation-Based modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) was developed as an objective tool to grade state of inflammation. However, the association between mGPS and postoperative complications for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patients was still unknown. In our study, 270 IBD patients [Crohn’s disease (CD), n = 186; Ulcerative colitis (UC), n = 84] from January 2013 and January 2016 who underwent elective bowel resection were retrospectively analyzed, and, the levels of preoperative C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin were included as parameters of mGPS. The incidence of overall postoperative complications was 44.81% (121/270), including 46.77% (87/186) of CD and 40.48% (34/84) of UC. According to multivariate analysis, mGPS (CD: OR = 3.47, p = 0.003; UC: OR = 3.28, p = 0.019) was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative complications. Patients with a higher mGPS also suffered longer postoperative stay and increased SSIs (both p < 0.05). Combining mGPS with neutrophil ratio improved its prognostic value with a better area under the curve (AUC), using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) method. Then we confirmed that mGPS was associated with postoperative complications in IBD patients undergoing elective bowel resection and the addition of neutrophil ratio enhanced its prognostic value.