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Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
Do human societies from around the world exhibit similarities in the way that they are structured, and show commonalities in the ways that they have evolved? These are long-standing questions that have proven difficult to answer. To test between competing hypotheses, we constructed a massive reposit...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5777031/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29269395 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708800115 |
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author | Turchin, Peter Currie, Thomas E. Whitehouse, Harvey François, Pieter Feeney, Kevin Mullins, Daniel Hoyer, Daniel Collins, Christina Grohmann, Stephanie Savage, Patrick Mendel-Gleason, Gavin Turner, Edward Dupeyron, Agathe Cioni, Enrico Reddish, Jenny Levine, Jill Jordan, Greine Brandl, Eva Williams, Alice Cesaretti, Rudolf Krueger, Marta Ceccarelli, Alessandro Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe Tuan, Po-Ju Peregrine, Peter Marciniak, Arkadiusz Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes Kradin, Nikolay Korotayev, Andrey Palmisano, Alessio Baker, David Bidmead, Julye Bol, Peter Christian, David Cook, Connie Covey, Alan Feinman, Gary Júlíusson, Árni Daníel Kristinsson, Axel Miksic, John Mostern, Ruth Petrie, Cameron Rudiak-Gould, Peter ter Haar, Barend Wallace, Vesna Mair, Victor Xie, Liye Baines, John Bridges, Elizabeth Manning, Joseph Lockhart, Bruce Bogaard, Amy Spencer, Charles |
author_facet | Turchin, Peter Currie, Thomas E. Whitehouse, Harvey François, Pieter Feeney, Kevin Mullins, Daniel Hoyer, Daniel Collins, Christina Grohmann, Stephanie Savage, Patrick Mendel-Gleason, Gavin Turner, Edward Dupeyron, Agathe Cioni, Enrico Reddish, Jenny Levine, Jill Jordan, Greine Brandl, Eva Williams, Alice Cesaretti, Rudolf Krueger, Marta Ceccarelli, Alessandro Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe Tuan, Po-Ju Peregrine, Peter Marciniak, Arkadiusz Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes Kradin, Nikolay Korotayev, Andrey Palmisano, Alessio Baker, David Bidmead, Julye Bol, Peter Christian, David Cook, Connie Covey, Alan Feinman, Gary Júlíusson, Árni Daníel Kristinsson, Axel Miksic, John Mostern, Ruth Petrie, Cameron Rudiak-Gould, Peter ter Haar, Barend Wallace, Vesna Mair, Victor Xie, Liye Baines, John Bridges, Elizabeth Manning, Joseph Lockhart, Bruce Bogaard, Amy Spencer, Charles |
author_sort | Turchin, Peter |
collection | PubMed |
description | Do human societies from around the world exhibit similarities in the way that they are structured, and show commonalities in the ways that they have evolved? These are long-standing questions that have proven difficult to answer. To test between competing hypotheses, we constructed a massive repository of historical and archaeological information known as “Seshat: Global History Databank.” We systematically coded data on 414 societies from 30 regions around the world spanning the last 10,000 years. We were able to capture information on 51 variables reflecting nine characteristics of human societies, such as social scale, economy, features of governance, and information systems. Our analyses revealed that these different characteristics show strong relationships with each other and that a single principal component captures around three-quarters of the observed variation. Furthermore, we found that different characteristics of social complexity are highly predictable across different world regions. These results suggest that key aspects of social organization are functionally related and do indeed coevolve in predictable ways. Our findings highlight the power of the sciences and humanities working together to rigorously test hypotheses about general rules that may have shaped human history. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5777031 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-57770312018-01-23 Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization Turchin, Peter Currie, Thomas E. Whitehouse, Harvey François, Pieter Feeney, Kevin Mullins, Daniel Hoyer, Daniel Collins, Christina Grohmann, Stephanie Savage, Patrick Mendel-Gleason, Gavin Turner, Edward Dupeyron, Agathe Cioni, Enrico Reddish, Jenny Levine, Jill Jordan, Greine Brandl, Eva Williams, Alice Cesaretti, Rudolf Krueger, Marta Ceccarelli, Alessandro Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe Tuan, Po-Ju Peregrine, Peter Marciniak, Arkadiusz Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes Kradin, Nikolay Korotayev, Andrey Palmisano, Alessio Baker, David Bidmead, Julye Bol, Peter Christian, David Cook, Connie Covey, Alan Feinman, Gary Júlíusson, Árni Daníel Kristinsson, Axel Miksic, John Mostern, Ruth Petrie, Cameron Rudiak-Gould, Peter ter Haar, Barend Wallace, Vesna Mair, Victor Xie, Liye Baines, John Bridges, Elizabeth Manning, Joseph Lockhart, Bruce Bogaard, Amy Spencer, Charles Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A PNAS Plus Do human societies from around the world exhibit similarities in the way that they are structured, and show commonalities in the ways that they have evolved? These are long-standing questions that have proven difficult to answer. To test between competing hypotheses, we constructed a massive repository of historical and archaeological information known as “Seshat: Global History Databank.” We systematically coded data on 414 societies from 30 regions around the world spanning the last 10,000 years. We were able to capture information on 51 variables reflecting nine characteristics of human societies, such as social scale, economy, features of governance, and information systems. Our analyses revealed that these different characteristics show strong relationships with each other and that a single principal component captures around three-quarters of the observed variation. Furthermore, we found that different characteristics of social complexity are highly predictable across different world regions. These results suggest that key aspects of social organization are functionally related and do indeed coevolve in predictable ways. Our findings highlight the power of the sciences and humanities working together to rigorously test hypotheses about general rules that may have shaped human history. National Academy of Sciences 2018-01-09 2017-12-21 /pmc/articles/PMC5777031/ /pubmed/29269395 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708800115 Text en Copyright © 2018 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | PNAS Plus Turchin, Peter Currie, Thomas E. Whitehouse, Harvey François, Pieter Feeney, Kevin Mullins, Daniel Hoyer, Daniel Collins, Christina Grohmann, Stephanie Savage, Patrick Mendel-Gleason, Gavin Turner, Edward Dupeyron, Agathe Cioni, Enrico Reddish, Jenny Levine, Jill Jordan, Greine Brandl, Eva Williams, Alice Cesaretti, Rudolf Krueger, Marta Ceccarelli, Alessandro Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe Tuan, Po-Ju Peregrine, Peter Marciniak, Arkadiusz Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes Kradin, Nikolay Korotayev, Andrey Palmisano, Alessio Baker, David Bidmead, Julye Bol, Peter Christian, David Cook, Connie Covey, Alan Feinman, Gary Júlíusson, Árni Daníel Kristinsson, Axel Miksic, John Mostern, Ruth Petrie, Cameron Rudiak-Gould, Peter ter Haar, Barend Wallace, Vesna Mair, Victor Xie, Liye Baines, John Bridges, Elizabeth Manning, Joseph Lockhart, Bruce Bogaard, Amy Spencer, Charles Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization |
title | Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization |
title_full | Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization |
title_fullStr | Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization |
title_full_unstemmed | Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization |
title_short | Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization |
title_sort | quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization |
topic | PNAS Plus |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5777031/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29269395 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708800115 |
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