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Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization

Do human societies from around the world exhibit similarities in the way that they are structured, and show commonalities in the ways that they have evolved? These are long-standing questions that have proven difficult to answer. To test between competing hypotheses, we constructed a massive reposit...

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Autores principales: Turchin, Peter, Currie, Thomas E., Whitehouse, Harvey, François, Pieter, Feeney, Kevin, Mullins, Daniel, Hoyer, Daniel, Collins, Christina, Grohmann, Stephanie, Savage, Patrick, Mendel-Gleason, Gavin, Turner, Edward, Dupeyron, Agathe, Cioni, Enrico, Reddish, Jenny, Levine, Jill, Jordan, Greine, Brandl, Eva, Williams, Alice, Cesaretti, Rudolf, Krueger, Marta, Ceccarelli, Alessandro, Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe, Tuan, Po-Ju, Peregrine, Peter, Marciniak, Arkadiusz, Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes, Kradin, Nikolay, Korotayev, Andrey, Palmisano, Alessio, Baker, David, Bidmead, Julye, Bol, Peter, Christian, David, Cook, Connie, Covey, Alan, Feinman, Gary, Júlíusson, Árni Daníel, Kristinsson, Axel, Miksic, John, Mostern, Ruth, Petrie, Cameron, Rudiak-Gould, Peter, ter Haar, Barend, Wallace, Vesna, Mair, Victor, Xie, Liye, Baines, John, Bridges, Elizabeth, Manning, Joseph, Lockhart, Bruce, Bogaard, Amy, Spencer, Charles
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5777031/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29269395
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708800115
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author Turchin, Peter
Currie, Thomas E.
Whitehouse, Harvey
François, Pieter
Feeney, Kevin
Mullins, Daniel
Hoyer, Daniel
Collins, Christina
Grohmann, Stephanie
Savage, Patrick
Mendel-Gleason, Gavin
Turner, Edward
Dupeyron, Agathe
Cioni, Enrico
Reddish, Jenny
Levine, Jill
Jordan, Greine
Brandl, Eva
Williams, Alice
Cesaretti, Rudolf
Krueger, Marta
Ceccarelli, Alessandro
Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe
Tuan, Po-Ju
Peregrine, Peter
Marciniak, Arkadiusz
Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes
Kradin, Nikolay
Korotayev, Andrey
Palmisano, Alessio
Baker, David
Bidmead, Julye
Bol, Peter
Christian, David
Cook, Connie
Covey, Alan
Feinman, Gary
Júlíusson, Árni Daníel
Kristinsson, Axel
Miksic, John
Mostern, Ruth
Petrie, Cameron
Rudiak-Gould, Peter
ter Haar, Barend
Wallace, Vesna
Mair, Victor
Xie, Liye
Baines, John
Bridges, Elizabeth
Manning, Joseph
Lockhart, Bruce
Bogaard, Amy
Spencer, Charles
author_facet Turchin, Peter
Currie, Thomas E.
Whitehouse, Harvey
François, Pieter
Feeney, Kevin
Mullins, Daniel
Hoyer, Daniel
Collins, Christina
Grohmann, Stephanie
Savage, Patrick
Mendel-Gleason, Gavin
Turner, Edward
Dupeyron, Agathe
Cioni, Enrico
Reddish, Jenny
Levine, Jill
Jordan, Greine
Brandl, Eva
Williams, Alice
Cesaretti, Rudolf
Krueger, Marta
Ceccarelli, Alessandro
Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe
Tuan, Po-Ju
Peregrine, Peter
Marciniak, Arkadiusz
Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes
Kradin, Nikolay
Korotayev, Andrey
Palmisano, Alessio
Baker, David
Bidmead, Julye
Bol, Peter
Christian, David
Cook, Connie
Covey, Alan
Feinman, Gary
Júlíusson, Árni Daníel
Kristinsson, Axel
Miksic, John
Mostern, Ruth
Petrie, Cameron
Rudiak-Gould, Peter
ter Haar, Barend
Wallace, Vesna
Mair, Victor
Xie, Liye
Baines, John
Bridges, Elizabeth
Manning, Joseph
Lockhart, Bruce
Bogaard, Amy
Spencer, Charles
author_sort Turchin, Peter
collection PubMed
description Do human societies from around the world exhibit similarities in the way that they are structured, and show commonalities in the ways that they have evolved? These are long-standing questions that have proven difficult to answer. To test between competing hypotheses, we constructed a massive repository of historical and archaeological information known as “Seshat: Global History Databank.” We systematically coded data on 414 societies from 30 regions around the world spanning the last 10,000 years. We were able to capture information on 51 variables reflecting nine characteristics of human societies, such as social scale, economy, features of governance, and information systems. Our analyses revealed that these different characteristics show strong relationships with each other and that a single principal component captures around three-quarters of the observed variation. Furthermore, we found that different characteristics of social complexity are highly predictable across different world regions. These results suggest that key aspects of social organization are functionally related and do indeed coevolve in predictable ways. Our findings highlight the power of the sciences and humanities working together to rigorously test hypotheses about general rules that may have shaped human history.
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spelling pubmed-57770312018-01-23 Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization Turchin, Peter Currie, Thomas E. Whitehouse, Harvey François, Pieter Feeney, Kevin Mullins, Daniel Hoyer, Daniel Collins, Christina Grohmann, Stephanie Savage, Patrick Mendel-Gleason, Gavin Turner, Edward Dupeyron, Agathe Cioni, Enrico Reddish, Jenny Levine, Jill Jordan, Greine Brandl, Eva Williams, Alice Cesaretti, Rudolf Krueger, Marta Ceccarelli, Alessandro Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe Tuan, Po-Ju Peregrine, Peter Marciniak, Arkadiusz Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes Kradin, Nikolay Korotayev, Andrey Palmisano, Alessio Baker, David Bidmead, Julye Bol, Peter Christian, David Cook, Connie Covey, Alan Feinman, Gary Júlíusson, Árni Daníel Kristinsson, Axel Miksic, John Mostern, Ruth Petrie, Cameron Rudiak-Gould, Peter ter Haar, Barend Wallace, Vesna Mair, Victor Xie, Liye Baines, John Bridges, Elizabeth Manning, Joseph Lockhart, Bruce Bogaard, Amy Spencer, Charles Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A PNAS Plus Do human societies from around the world exhibit similarities in the way that they are structured, and show commonalities in the ways that they have evolved? These are long-standing questions that have proven difficult to answer. To test between competing hypotheses, we constructed a massive repository of historical and archaeological information known as “Seshat: Global History Databank.” We systematically coded data on 414 societies from 30 regions around the world spanning the last 10,000 years. We were able to capture information on 51 variables reflecting nine characteristics of human societies, such as social scale, economy, features of governance, and information systems. Our analyses revealed that these different characteristics show strong relationships with each other and that a single principal component captures around three-quarters of the observed variation. Furthermore, we found that different characteristics of social complexity are highly predictable across different world regions. These results suggest that key aspects of social organization are functionally related and do indeed coevolve in predictable ways. Our findings highlight the power of the sciences and humanities working together to rigorously test hypotheses about general rules that may have shaped human history. National Academy of Sciences 2018-01-09 2017-12-21 /pmc/articles/PMC5777031/ /pubmed/29269395 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708800115 Text en Copyright © 2018 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle PNAS Plus
Turchin, Peter
Currie, Thomas E.
Whitehouse, Harvey
François, Pieter
Feeney, Kevin
Mullins, Daniel
Hoyer, Daniel
Collins, Christina
Grohmann, Stephanie
Savage, Patrick
Mendel-Gleason, Gavin
Turner, Edward
Dupeyron, Agathe
Cioni, Enrico
Reddish, Jenny
Levine, Jill
Jordan, Greine
Brandl, Eva
Williams, Alice
Cesaretti, Rudolf
Krueger, Marta
Ceccarelli, Alessandro
Figliulo-Rosswurm, Joe
Tuan, Po-Ju
Peregrine, Peter
Marciniak, Arkadiusz
Preiser-Kapeller, Johannes
Kradin, Nikolay
Korotayev, Andrey
Palmisano, Alessio
Baker, David
Bidmead, Julye
Bol, Peter
Christian, David
Cook, Connie
Covey, Alan
Feinman, Gary
Júlíusson, Árni Daníel
Kristinsson, Axel
Miksic, John
Mostern, Ruth
Petrie, Cameron
Rudiak-Gould, Peter
ter Haar, Barend
Wallace, Vesna
Mair, Victor
Xie, Liye
Baines, John
Bridges, Elizabeth
Manning, Joseph
Lockhart, Bruce
Bogaard, Amy
Spencer, Charles
Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
title Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
title_full Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
title_fullStr Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
title_short Quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
title_sort quantitative historical analysis uncovers a single dimension of complexity that structures global variation in human social organization
topic PNAS Plus
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5777031/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29269395
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1708800115
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