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Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR,...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Nadini, Matthieu, Sun, Kaiyuan, Ubaldi, Enrico, Starnini, Michele, Rizzo, Alessandro, Perra, Nicola
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5799280/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29403006
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x
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author Nadini, Matthieu
Sun, Kaiyuan
Ubaldi, Enrico
Starnini, Michele
Rizzo, Alessandro
Perra, Nicola
author_facet Nadini, Matthieu
Sun, Kaiyuan
Ubaldi, Enrico
Starnini, Michele
Rizzo, Alessandro
Perra, Nicola
author_sort Nadini, Matthieu
collection PubMed
description We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR, models and the epidemic threshold of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible, SIS, models. Interestingly, we find that while the presence of tightly connected clusters inhibits SIR processes, it speeds up SIS phenomena. In this case, we observe that modular structures induce a reduction of the threshold with respect to time-varying networks without communities. We confirm the theoretical results by means of extensive numerical simulations both on synthetic graphs as well as on a real modular and temporal network.
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spelling pubmed-57992802018-02-14 Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks Nadini, Matthieu Sun, Kaiyuan Ubaldi, Enrico Starnini, Michele Rizzo, Alessandro Perra, Nicola Sci Rep Article We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR, models and the epidemic threshold of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible, SIS, models. Interestingly, we find that while the presence of tightly connected clusters inhibits SIR processes, it speeds up SIS phenomena. In this case, we observe that modular structures induce a reduction of the threshold with respect to time-varying networks without communities. We confirm the theoretical results by means of extensive numerical simulations both on synthetic graphs as well as on a real modular and temporal network. Nature Publishing Group UK 2018-02-05 /pmc/articles/PMC5799280/ /pubmed/29403006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x Text en © The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Nadini, Matthieu
Sun, Kaiyuan
Ubaldi, Enrico
Starnini, Michele
Rizzo, Alessandro
Perra, Nicola
Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
title Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
title_full Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
title_fullStr Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
title_full_unstemmed Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
title_short Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
title_sort epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5799280/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29403006
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x
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