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Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR,...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5799280/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29403006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x |
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author | Nadini, Matthieu Sun, Kaiyuan Ubaldi, Enrico Starnini, Michele Rizzo, Alessandro Perra, Nicola |
author_facet | Nadini, Matthieu Sun, Kaiyuan Ubaldi, Enrico Starnini, Michele Rizzo, Alessandro Perra, Nicola |
author_sort | Nadini, Matthieu |
collection | PubMed |
description | We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR, models and the epidemic threshold of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible, SIS, models. Interestingly, we find that while the presence of tightly connected clusters inhibits SIR processes, it speeds up SIS phenomena. In this case, we observe that modular structures induce a reduction of the threshold with respect to time-varying networks without communities. We confirm the theoretical results by means of extensive numerical simulations both on synthetic graphs as well as on a real modular and temporal network. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5799280 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-57992802018-02-14 Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks Nadini, Matthieu Sun, Kaiyuan Ubaldi, Enrico Starnini, Michele Rizzo, Alessandro Perra, Nicola Sci Rep Article We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we study the epidemic size of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered, SIR, models and the epidemic threshold of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible, SIS, models. Interestingly, we find that while the presence of tightly connected clusters inhibits SIR processes, it speeds up SIS phenomena. In this case, we observe that modular structures induce a reduction of the threshold with respect to time-varying networks without communities. We confirm the theoretical results by means of extensive numerical simulations both on synthetic graphs as well as on a real modular and temporal network. Nature Publishing Group UK 2018-02-05 /pmc/articles/PMC5799280/ /pubmed/29403006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x Text en © The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
spellingShingle | Article Nadini, Matthieu Sun, Kaiyuan Ubaldi, Enrico Starnini, Michele Rizzo, Alessandro Perra, Nicola Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks |
title | Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks |
title_full | Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks |
title_fullStr | Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks |
title_full_unstemmed | Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks |
title_short | Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks |
title_sort | epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5799280/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29403006 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x |
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