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Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework
A growing body of literature addresses how climate change is likely to have substantial and generally adverse effects on population health and health systems around the world. These effects are likely to vary within and between countries and, importantly, will vary depending on different socioeconom...
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
MDPI
2017
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5800104/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29267204 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15010003 |
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author | Sellers, Samuel Ebi, Kristie L. |
author_facet | Sellers, Samuel Ebi, Kristie L. |
author_sort | Sellers, Samuel |
collection | PubMed |
description | A growing body of literature addresses how climate change is likely to have substantial and generally adverse effects on population health and health systems around the world. These effects are likely to vary within and between countries and, importantly, will vary depending on different socioeconomic development patterns. Transitioning to a more resilient and sustainable world to prepare for and manage the effects of climate change is likely to result in better health outcomes. Sustained fossil fuel development will likely result in continued high burdens of preventable conditions, such as undernutrition, malaria, and diarrheal diseases. Using a new set of socioeconomic development trajectories, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), along with the World Health Organization’s Operational Framework for Building Climate Resilient Health Systems, we extend existing storylines to illustrate how various aspects of health systems are likely to be affected under each SSP. We also discuss the implications of our findings on how the burden of mortality and the achievement of health-related Sustainable Development Goal targets are likely to vary under different SSPs. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5800104 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2017 |
publisher | MDPI |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-58001042018-02-06 Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework Sellers, Samuel Ebi, Kristie L. Int J Environ Res Public Health Article A growing body of literature addresses how climate change is likely to have substantial and generally adverse effects on population health and health systems around the world. These effects are likely to vary within and between countries and, importantly, will vary depending on different socioeconomic development patterns. Transitioning to a more resilient and sustainable world to prepare for and manage the effects of climate change is likely to result in better health outcomes. Sustained fossil fuel development will likely result in continued high burdens of preventable conditions, such as undernutrition, malaria, and diarrheal diseases. Using a new set of socioeconomic development trajectories, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), along with the World Health Organization’s Operational Framework for Building Climate Resilient Health Systems, we extend existing storylines to illustrate how various aspects of health systems are likely to be affected under each SSP. We also discuss the implications of our findings on how the burden of mortality and the achievement of health-related Sustainable Development Goal targets are likely to vary under different SSPs. MDPI 2017-12-21 2018-01 /pmc/articles/PMC5800104/ /pubmed/29267204 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15010003 Text en © 2017 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Sellers, Samuel Ebi, Kristie L. Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework |
title | Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework |
title_full | Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework |
title_fullStr | Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework |
title_full_unstemmed | Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework |
title_short | Climate Change and Health under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Framework |
title_sort | climate change and health under the shared socioeconomic pathway framework |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5800104/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29267204 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15010003 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT sellerssamuel climatechangeandhealthunderthesharedsocioeconomicpathwayframework AT ebikristiel climatechangeandhealthunderthesharedsocioeconomicpathwayframework |