A single-center retrospective study of factors related to the effects of intravenous glucocorticoid therapy in moderate-to-severe and active thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy

BACKGROUND: Intravenous glucocorticoids (ivGC) have been recommended as a first-line treatment of moderate-to-severe and active thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy (TAO). However, not all patients are responsive to ivGC. The identification of potential factors used to predict their efficacy and the selection of suitable patients have both been lacking. METHODS: It was a single center retrospective study. Potential factors related to the effects of ivGC were analyzed using logistic regression in 90 consecutive patients with moderate-to-severe and active TAO, who received 4.5 g ivGC therapy. Response was defined as the achievement of at least three points of the overall response. RESULTS: Fifty-two (57.8%) patients showed a positive response to ivGC therapy. Significant correlations were observed between the effects of ivGC and pretreatment clinical activity score (CAS), duration of eye symptoms, and restoration of euthyroidism. The two latter factors were both independent. The duration of eye symptoms was negatively correlated with the effects of ivGC, with an odds ratio (OR) of 0.984 (p = 0.012). Restoration of euthyroidism (OR = 3.282, p = 0.039) and pretreatment CAS (OR = 1.653, p < 0.01) were both positively correlated with the effects of ivGC. The diagnostic accuracy of the duration of eye symptoms was ≤13 months (p = 0.000), with a specificity of 76.9%, and sensitivity of 65.8%. The diagnostic accuracy of the pretreatment CAS was more than 2.5 (p = 0.000), with a specificity of 61.5% and sensitivity of 80.5%. Besides, a multi-variables prediction model were established as well, which was better in the forecasting aspect with an area under curve of 0.784 (p = 0.000). CONCLUSIONS: The duration of eye symptoms and restoration of euthyroidism are independent factors that are associated with the effects of ivGC. The following practical implications were inferred: firstly, the shorter the duration of eye symptoms, the more favorable the effects of ivGC therapy. Thus, prompt diagnosis and treatment (within 13 months) is important. Secondly, the restoration of euthyroidism improves the efficacy of ivGC. Thirdly, hope the multi-variables prediction model can be applied to clinical therapy in the future.