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Climate-change–driven accelerated sea-level rise detected in the altimeter era

Using a 25-y time series of precision satellite altimeter data from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, and Jason-3, we estimate the climate-change–driven acceleration of global mean sea level over the last 25 y to be 0.084 ± 0.025 mm/y(2). Coupled with the average climate-change–driven rate of sea le...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Nerem, R. S., Beckley, B. D., Fasullo, J. T., Hamlington, B. D., Masters, D., Mitchum, G. T.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5834701/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29440401
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1717312115
Descripción
Sumario:Using a 25-y time series of precision satellite altimeter data from TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, and Jason-3, we estimate the climate-change–driven acceleration of global mean sea level over the last 25 y to be 0.084 ± 0.025 mm/y(2). Coupled with the average climate-change–driven rate of sea level rise over these same 25 y of 2.9 mm/y, simple extrapolation of the quadratic implies global mean sea level could rise 65 ± 12 cm by 2100 compared with 2005, roughly in agreement with the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 5th Assessment Report (AR5) model projections.