No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested

We test the soccer myth suggesting that a particularly good moment to score a goal is just before half time. To this end, rich data on 1,179 games played in the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League are analysed. In contrast to the myth, we find that, conditional on the goal difference and ot...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Baert, Stijn, Amez, Simon
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2018
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5843336/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29518165
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0194255
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author Baert, Stijn
Amez, Simon
author_facet Baert, Stijn
Amez, Simon
author_sort Baert, Stijn
collection PubMed
description We test the soccer myth suggesting that a particularly good moment to score a goal is just before half time. To this end, rich data on 1,179 games played in the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League are analysed. In contrast to the myth, we find that, conditional on the goal difference and other game characteristics at half time, the final goal difference at the advantage of the home team is 0.520 goals lower in case of a goal just before half time by this team. We show that this finding relates to this team’s lower probability of scoring a goal during the second half.
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spelling pubmed-58433362018-03-23 No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested Baert, Stijn Amez, Simon PLoS One Research Article We test the soccer myth suggesting that a particularly good moment to score a goal is just before half time. To this end, rich data on 1,179 games played in the UEFA Champions League and UEFA Europa League are analysed. In contrast to the myth, we find that, conditional on the goal difference and other game characteristics at half time, the final goal difference at the advantage of the home team is 0.520 goals lower in case of a goal just before half time by this team. We show that this finding relates to this team’s lower probability of scoring a goal during the second half. Public Library of Science 2018-03-08 /pmc/articles/PMC5843336/ /pubmed/29518165 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0194255 Text en © 2018 Baert, Amez http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Baert, Stijn
Amez, Simon
No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested
title No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested
title_full No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested
title_fullStr No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested
title_full_unstemmed No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested
title_short No better moment to score a goal than just before half time? A soccer myth statistically tested
title_sort no better moment to score a goal than just before half time? a soccer myth statistically tested
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5843336/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29518165
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0194255
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