GDF‐15 is a better complimentary marker for risk stratification of arrhythmic death in non‐ischaemic, dilated cardiomyopathy than soluble ST2

Growth differentiation factor (GDF)‐15 and soluble ST2 (sST2) are established prognostic markers in acute and chronic heart failure. Assessment of these biomarkers might improve arrhythmic risk stratification of patients with non‐ischaemic, dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) based on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). We studied the prognostic value of GDF‐15 and sST2 for prediction of arrhythmic death (AD) and all‐cause mortality in patients with DCM. We prospectively enrolled 52 patients with DCM and LVEF ≤ 50%. Primary end‐points were time to AD or resuscitated cardiac arrest (RCA), and secondary end‐point was all‐cause mortality. The median follow‐up time was 7 years. A cardiac death was observed in 20 patients, where 10 patients had an AD and 2 patients had a RCA. One patient died a non‐cardiac death. GDF‐15, but not sST2, was associated with increased risk of the AD/RCA with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.1 (95% CI = 1.1‐4.3; P = .031). GDF‐15 remained an independent predictor of AD/RCA after adjustment for LVEF with adjusted HR of 2.2 (95% CI = 1.1‐4.5; P = .028). Both GDF‐15 and sST2 were independent predictors of all‐cause mortality (adjusted HR = 2.4; 95% CI = 1.4‐4.2; P = .003 vs HR = 1.6; 95% CI = 1.05‐2.7; P = .030). In a model including GDF‐15, sST2, LVEF and NYHA functional class, only GDF‐15 was significantly associated with the secondary end‐point (adjusted HR = 2.2; 95% CI = 1.05‐5.2; P = .038). GDF‐15 is superior to sST2 in prediction of fatal arrhythmic events and all‐cause mortality in DCM. Assessment of GDF‐15 could provide additional information on top of LVEF and help identifying patients at risk of arrhythmic death.