Trends in the Implementation of Active Surveillance for Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinomas at Kuma Hospital: Gradual Increase and Heterogeneity in the Acceptance of This New Management Option

Background: Active surveillance (AS) of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PMC) was adopted as a management modality in both the Japanese guidelines in 2011 and the American Thyroid Association guidelines in 2015. AS was initiated at Kuma Hospital in 1993 but was not immediately accepted by all physicians. This study investigated the history of acceptance of AS at Kuma Hospital over time. The results should assist in the implementation of AS at other hospitals in Japan and other countries. Methods: This study included 4023 patients who were cytologically diagnosed with low-risk PMC at Kuma Hospital during the 24-year period between October 1993 and June 2016. The trend in the frequency of AS use over time was analyzed, dividing the 24-year study period into five parts based on the change in frequency of AS use: 1993–1997, 1998–2002, 2003–2006, 2007–2013, and 2014–2016. Results: The frequency of AS use in the present cohort was 65%. The frequency gradually increased from 30% in 1993–1997 to 88% in 2014–2016, with a slight decrease from 51% in 1998–2002 to 42% in 2003–2006. Until 2007, patients were mostly seen by surgeons, and the frequency of AS use varied remarkably among individual surgeons. Since 2007, the number of patients whose therapeutic strategies are determined by endocrinologists has increased, and the frequency of AS use for low-risk PMC by endocrinologists has been higher than that by surgeons. Conclusions: At Kuma Hospital, acceptance of AS for low-risk PMC gradually increased over the 24-year study period, but AS was not equally accepted by all physicians. Such variations in the acceptance of AS among individual physicians are also expected to exist in other hospitals. However, due to increasing evidence of the safety and superiority of AS over immediate surgery for this indolent disease, it is expected that AS will gain faster acceptance in other hospitals in Japan and around the world.