A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018

Greece is currently experiencing a large measles outbreak, in the context of multiple similar outbreaks across Europe. We devised and applied a modified chain-binomial epidemic model, requiring very simple data, to estimate the transmission parameters of this outbreak. Model results indicate sustain...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Lytras, Theodore, Georgakopoulou, Theano, Tsiodras, Sotirios
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2018
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5930726/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29717695
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.17.18-00165
Descripción
Sumario:Greece is currently experiencing a large measles outbreak, in the context of multiple similar outbreaks across Europe. We devised and applied a modified chain-binomial epidemic model, requiring very simple data, to estimate the transmission parameters of this outbreak. Model results indicate sustained measles transmission among the Greek Roma population, necessitating a targeted mass vaccination campaign to halt further spread of the epidemic. Our model may be useful for other countries facing similar measles outbreaks.

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