A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018

Greece is currently experiencing a large measles outbreak, in the context of multiple similar outbreaks across Europe. We devised and applied a modified chain-binomial epidemic model, requiring very simple data, to estimate the transmission parameters of this outbreak. Model results indicate sustain...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Lytras, Theodore, Georgakopoulou, Theano, Tsiodras, Sotirios
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2018
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5930726/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29717695
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.17.18-00165
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author Lytras, Theodore
Georgakopoulou, Theano
Tsiodras, Sotirios
author_facet Lytras, Theodore
Georgakopoulou, Theano
Tsiodras, Sotirios
author_sort Lytras, Theodore
collection PubMed
description Greece is currently experiencing a large measles outbreak, in the context of multiple similar outbreaks across Europe. We devised and applied a modified chain-binomial epidemic model, requiring very simple data, to estimate the transmission parameters of this outbreak. Model results indicate sustained measles transmission among the Greek Roma population, necessitating a targeted mass vaccination campaign to halt further spread of the epidemic. Our model may be useful for other countries facing similar measles outbreaks.
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spelling pubmed-59307262018-05-09 A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018 Lytras, Theodore Georgakopoulou, Theano Tsiodras, Sotirios Euro Surveill Rapid Communication Greece is currently experiencing a large measles outbreak, in the context of multiple similar outbreaks across Europe. We devised and applied a modified chain-binomial epidemic model, requiring very simple data, to estimate the transmission parameters of this outbreak. Model results indicate sustained measles transmission among the Greek Roma population, necessitating a targeted mass vaccination campaign to halt further spread of the epidemic. Our model may be useful for other countries facing similar measles outbreaks. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2018-04-26 /pmc/articles/PMC5930726/ /pubmed/29717695 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.17.18-00165 Text en This article is copyright of The Authors, 2018. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Rapid Communication
Lytras, Theodore
Georgakopoulou, Theano
Tsiodras, Sotirios
A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018
title A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018
title_full A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018
title_fullStr A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018
title_full_unstemmed A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018
title_short A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018
title_sort modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in greece, july 2017 to february 2018
topic Rapid Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5930726/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29717695
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.17.18-00165
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