Cargando…

Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing

We argue that making accept/reject decisions on scientific hypotheses, including a recent call for changing the canonical alpha level from p = 0.05 to p = 0.005, is deleterious for the finding of new discoveries and the progress of science. Given that blanket and variable alpha levels both are probl...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Trafimow, David, Amrhein, Valentin, Areshenkoff, Corson N., Barrera-Causil, Carlos J., Beh, Eric J., Bilgiç, Yusuf K., Bono, Roser, Bradley, Michael T., Briggs, William M., Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A., Chaigneau, Sergio E., Ciocca, Daniel R., Correa, Juan C., Cousineau, Denis, de Boer, Michiel R., Dhar, Subhra S., Dolgov, Igor, Gómez-Benito, Juana, Grendar, Marian, Grice, James W., Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E., Gutiérrez, Andrés, Huedo-Medina, Tania B., Jaffe, Klaus, Janyan, Armina, Karimnezhad, Ali, Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi, Kosugi, Koji, Lachmair, Martin, Ledesma, Rubén D., Limongi, Roberto, Liuzza, Marco T., Lombardo, Rosaria, Marks, Michael J., Meinlschmidt, Gunther, Nalborczyk, Ladislas, Nguyen, Hung T., Ospina, Raydonal, Perezgonzalez, Jose D., Pfister, Roland, Rahona, Juan J., Rodríguez-Medina, David A., Romão, Xavier, Ruiz-Fernández, Susana, Suarez, Isabel, Tegethoff, Marion, Tejo, Mauricio, van de Schoot, Rens, Vankov, Ivan I., Velasco-Forero, Santiago, Wang, Tonghui, Yamada, Yuki, Zoppino, Felipe C. M., Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5962803/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29867666
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.00699
_version_ 1783324945905876992
author Trafimow, David
Amrhein, Valentin
Areshenkoff, Corson N.
Barrera-Causil, Carlos J.
Beh, Eric J.
Bilgiç, Yusuf K.
Bono, Roser
Bradley, Michael T.
Briggs, William M.
Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A.
Chaigneau, Sergio E.
Ciocca, Daniel R.
Correa, Juan C.
Cousineau, Denis
de Boer, Michiel R.
Dhar, Subhra S.
Dolgov, Igor
Gómez-Benito, Juana
Grendar, Marian
Grice, James W.
Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E.
Gutiérrez, Andrés
Huedo-Medina, Tania B.
Jaffe, Klaus
Janyan, Armina
Karimnezhad, Ali
Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi
Kosugi, Koji
Lachmair, Martin
Ledesma, Rubén D.
Limongi, Roberto
Liuzza, Marco T.
Lombardo, Rosaria
Marks, Michael J.
Meinlschmidt, Gunther
Nalborczyk, Ladislas
Nguyen, Hung T.
Ospina, Raydonal
Perezgonzalez, Jose D.
Pfister, Roland
Rahona, Juan J.
Rodríguez-Medina, David A.
Romão, Xavier
Ruiz-Fernández, Susana
Suarez, Isabel
Tegethoff, Marion
Tejo, Mauricio
van de Schoot, Rens
Vankov, Ivan I.
Velasco-Forero, Santiago
Wang, Tonghui
Yamada, Yuki
Zoppino, Felipe C. M.
Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando
author_facet Trafimow, David
Amrhein, Valentin
Areshenkoff, Corson N.
Barrera-Causil, Carlos J.
Beh, Eric J.
Bilgiç, Yusuf K.
Bono, Roser
Bradley, Michael T.
Briggs, William M.
Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A.
Chaigneau, Sergio E.
Ciocca, Daniel R.
Correa, Juan C.
Cousineau, Denis
de Boer, Michiel R.
Dhar, Subhra S.
Dolgov, Igor
Gómez-Benito, Juana
Grendar, Marian
Grice, James W.
Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E.
Gutiérrez, Andrés
Huedo-Medina, Tania B.
Jaffe, Klaus
Janyan, Armina
Karimnezhad, Ali
Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi
Kosugi, Koji
Lachmair, Martin
Ledesma, Rubén D.
Limongi, Roberto
Liuzza, Marco T.
Lombardo, Rosaria
Marks, Michael J.
Meinlschmidt, Gunther
Nalborczyk, Ladislas
Nguyen, Hung T.
Ospina, Raydonal
Perezgonzalez, Jose D.
Pfister, Roland
Rahona, Juan J.
Rodríguez-Medina, David A.
Romão, Xavier
Ruiz-Fernández, Susana
Suarez, Isabel
Tegethoff, Marion
Tejo, Mauricio
van de Schoot, Rens
Vankov, Ivan I.
Velasco-Forero, Santiago
Wang, Tonghui
Yamada, Yuki
Zoppino, Felipe C. M.
Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando
author_sort Trafimow, David
collection PubMed
description We argue that making accept/reject decisions on scientific hypotheses, including a recent call for changing the canonical alpha level from p = 0.05 to p = 0.005, is deleterious for the finding of new discoveries and the progress of science. Given that blanket and variable alpha levels both are problematic, it is sensible to dispense with significance testing altogether. There are alternatives that address study design and sample size much more directly than significance testing does; but none of the statistical tools should be taken as the new magic method giving clear-cut mechanical answers. Inference should not be based on single studies at all, but on cumulative evidence from multiple independent studies. When evaluating the strength of the evidence, we should consider, for example, auxiliary assumptions, the strength of the experimental design, and implications for applications. To boil all this down to a binary decision based on a p-value threshold of 0.05, 0.01, 0.005, or anything else, is not acceptable.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-5962803
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2018
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-59628032018-06-04 Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing Trafimow, David Amrhein, Valentin Areshenkoff, Corson N. Barrera-Causil, Carlos J. Beh, Eric J. Bilgiç, Yusuf K. Bono, Roser Bradley, Michael T. Briggs, William M. Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A. Chaigneau, Sergio E. Ciocca, Daniel R. Correa, Juan C. Cousineau, Denis de Boer, Michiel R. Dhar, Subhra S. Dolgov, Igor Gómez-Benito, Juana Grendar, Marian Grice, James W. Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E. Gutiérrez, Andrés Huedo-Medina, Tania B. Jaffe, Klaus Janyan, Armina Karimnezhad, Ali Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi Kosugi, Koji Lachmair, Martin Ledesma, Rubén D. Limongi, Roberto Liuzza, Marco T. Lombardo, Rosaria Marks, Michael J. Meinlschmidt, Gunther Nalborczyk, Ladislas Nguyen, Hung T. Ospina, Raydonal Perezgonzalez, Jose D. Pfister, Roland Rahona, Juan J. Rodríguez-Medina, David A. Romão, Xavier Ruiz-Fernández, Susana Suarez, Isabel Tegethoff, Marion Tejo, Mauricio van de Schoot, Rens Vankov, Ivan I. Velasco-Forero, Santiago Wang, Tonghui Yamada, Yuki Zoppino, Felipe C. M. Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando Front Psychol Psychology We argue that making accept/reject decisions on scientific hypotheses, including a recent call for changing the canonical alpha level from p = 0.05 to p = 0.005, is deleterious for the finding of new discoveries and the progress of science. Given that blanket and variable alpha levels both are problematic, it is sensible to dispense with significance testing altogether. There are alternatives that address study design and sample size much more directly than significance testing does; but none of the statistical tools should be taken as the new magic method giving clear-cut mechanical answers. Inference should not be based on single studies at all, but on cumulative evidence from multiple independent studies. When evaluating the strength of the evidence, we should consider, for example, auxiliary assumptions, the strength of the experimental design, and implications for applications. To boil all this down to a binary decision based on a p-value threshold of 0.05, 0.01, 0.005, or anything else, is not acceptable. Frontiers Media S.A. 2018-05-15 /pmc/articles/PMC5962803/ /pubmed/29867666 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.00699 Text en Copyright © 2018 Trafimow, Amrhein, Areshenkoff, Barrera-Causil, Beh, Bilgiç, Bono, Bradley, Briggs, Cepeda-Freyre, Chaigneau, Ciocca, Correa, Cousineau, de Boer, Dhar, Dolgov, Gómez-Benito, Grendar, Grice, Guerrero-Gimenez, Gutiérrez, Huedo-Medina, Jaffe, Janyan, Karimnezhad, Korner-Nievergelt, Kosugi, Lachmair, Ledesma, Limongi, Liuzza, Lombardo, Marks, Meinlschmidt, Nalborczyk, Nguyen, Ospina, Perezgonzalez, Pfister, Rahona, Rodríguez-Medina, Romão, Ruiz-Fernández, Suarez, Tegethoff, Tejo, van de Schoot, Vankov, Velasco-Forero, Wang, Yamada, Zoppino and Marmolejo-Ramos. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Psychology
Trafimow, David
Amrhein, Valentin
Areshenkoff, Corson N.
Barrera-Causil, Carlos J.
Beh, Eric J.
Bilgiç, Yusuf K.
Bono, Roser
Bradley, Michael T.
Briggs, William M.
Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A.
Chaigneau, Sergio E.
Ciocca, Daniel R.
Correa, Juan C.
Cousineau, Denis
de Boer, Michiel R.
Dhar, Subhra S.
Dolgov, Igor
Gómez-Benito, Juana
Grendar, Marian
Grice, James W.
Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E.
Gutiérrez, Andrés
Huedo-Medina, Tania B.
Jaffe, Klaus
Janyan, Armina
Karimnezhad, Ali
Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi
Kosugi, Koji
Lachmair, Martin
Ledesma, Rubén D.
Limongi, Roberto
Liuzza, Marco T.
Lombardo, Rosaria
Marks, Michael J.
Meinlschmidt, Gunther
Nalborczyk, Ladislas
Nguyen, Hung T.
Ospina, Raydonal
Perezgonzalez, Jose D.
Pfister, Roland
Rahona, Juan J.
Rodríguez-Medina, David A.
Romão, Xavier
Ruiz-Fernández, Susana
Suarez, Isabel
Tegethoff, Marion
Tejo, Mauricio
van de Schoot, Rens
Vankov, Ivan I.
Velasco-Forero, Santiago
Wang, Tonghui
Yamada, Yuki
Zoppino, Felipe C. M.
Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando
Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
title Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
title_full Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
title_fullStr Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
title_full_unstemmed Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
title_short Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
title_sort manipulating the alpha level cannot cure significance testing
topic Psychology
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5962803/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29867666
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.00699
work_keys_str_mv AT trafimowdavid manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT amrheinvalentin manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT areshenkoffcorsonn manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT barreracausilcarlosj manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT behericj manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT bilgicyusufk manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT bonoroser manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT bradleymichaelt manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT briggswilliamm manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT cepedafreyrehectora manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT chaigneausergioe manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT cioccadanielr manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT correajuanc manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT cousineaudenis manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT deboermichielr manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT dharsubhras manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT dolgovigor manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT gomezbenitojuana manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT grendarmarian manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT gricejamesw manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT guerrerogimenezmartine manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT gutierrezandres manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT huedomedinataniab manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT jaffeklaus manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT janyanarmina manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT karimnezhadali manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT kornernievergeltfranzi manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT kosugikoji manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT lachmairmartin manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT ledesmarubend manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT limongiroberto manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT liuzzamarcot manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT lombardorosaria manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT marksmichaelj manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT meinlschmidtgunther manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT nalborczykladislas manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT nguyenhungt manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT ospinaraydonal manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT perezgonzalezjosed manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT pfisterroland manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT rahonajuanj manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT rodriguezmedinadavida manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT romaoxavier manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT ruizfernandezsusana manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT suarezisabel manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT tegethoffmarion manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT tejomauricio manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT vandeschootrens manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT vankovivani manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT velascoforerosantiago manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT wangtonghui manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT yamadayuki manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT zoppinofelipecm manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting
AT marmolejoramosfernando manipulatingthealphalevelcannotcuresignificancetesting