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Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing
We argue that making accept/reject decisions on scientific hypotheses, including a recent call for changing the canonical alpha level from p = 0.05 to p = 0.005, is deleterious for the finding of new discoveries and the progress of science. Given that blanket and variable alpha levels both are probl...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Frontiers Media S.A.
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5962803/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29867666 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.00699 |
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author | Trafimow, David Amrhein, Valentin Areshenkoff, Corson N. Barrera-Causil, Carlos J. Beh, Eric J. Bilgiç, Yusuf K. Bono, Roser Bradley, Michael T. Briggs, William M. Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A. Chaigneau, Sergio E. Ciocca, Daniel R. Correa, Juan C. Cousineau, Denis de Boer, Michiel R. Dhar, Subhra S. Dolgov, Igor Gómez-Benito, Juana Grendar, Marian Grice, James W. Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E. Gutiérrez, Andrés Huedo-Medina, Tania B. Jaffe, Klaus Janyan, Armina Karimnezhad, Ali Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi Kosugi, Koji Lachmair, Martin Ledesma, Rubén D. Limongi, Roberto Liuzza, Marco T. Lombardo, Rosaria Marks, Michael J. Meinlschmidt, Gunther Nalborczyk, Ladislas Nguyen, Hung T. Ospina, Raydonal Perezgonzalez, Jose D. Pfister, Roland Rahona, Juan J. Rodríguez-Medina, David A. Romão, Xavier Ruiz-Fernández, Susana Suarez, Isabel Tegethoff, Marion Tejo, Mauricio van de Schoot, Rens Vankov, Ivan I. Velasco-Forero, Santiago Wang, Tonghui Yamada, Yuki Zoppino, Felipe C. M. Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando |
author_facet | Trafimow, David Amrhein, Valentin Areshenkoff, Corson N. Barrera-Causil, Carlos J. Beh, Eric J. Bilgiç, Yusuf K. Bono, Roser Bradley, Michael T. Briggs, William M. Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A. Chaigneau, Sergio E. Ciocca, Daniel R. Correa, Juan C. Cousineau, Denis de Boer, Michiel R. Dhar, Subhra S. Dolgov, Igor Gómez-Benito, Juana Grendar, Marian Grice, James W. Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E. Gutiérrez, Andrés Huedo-Medina, Tania B. Jaffe, Klaus Janyan, Armina Karimnezhad, Ali Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi Kosugi, Koji Lachmair, Martin Ledesma, Rubén D. Limongi, Roberto Liuzza, Marco T. Lombardo, Rosaria Marks, Michael J. Meinlschmidt, Gunther Nalborczyk, Ladislas Nguyen, Hung T. Ospina, Raydonal Perezgonzalez, Jose D. Pfister, Roland Rahona, Juan J. Rodríguez-Medina, David A. Romão, Xavier Ruiz-Fernández, Susana Suarez, Isabel Tegethoff, Marion Tejo, Mauricio van de Schoot, Rens Vankov, Ivan I. Velasco-Forero, Santiago Wang, Tonghui Yamada, Yuki Zoppino, Felipe C. M. Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando |
author_sort | Trafimow, David |
collection | PubMed |
description | We argue that making accept/reject decisions on scientific hypotheses, including a recent call for changing the canonical alpha level from p = 0.05 to p = 0.005, is deleterious for the finding of new discoveries and the progress of science. Given that blanket and variable alpha levels both are problematic, it is sensible to dispense with significance testing altogether. There are alternatives that address study design and sample size much more directly than significance testing does; but none of the statistical tools should be taken as the new magic method giving clear-cut mechanical answers. Inference should not be based on single studies at all, but on cumulative evidence from multiple independent studies. When evaluating the strength of the evidence, we should consider, for example, auxiliary assumptions, the strength of the experimental design, and implications for applications. To boil all this down to a binary decision based on a p-value threshold of 0.05, 0.01, 0.005, or anything else, is not acceptable. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-5962803 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-59628032018-06-04 Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing Trafimow, David Amrhein, Valentin Areshenkoff, Corson N. Barrera-Causil, Carlos J. Beh, Eric J. Bilgiç, Yusuf K. Bono, Roser Bradley, Michael T. Briggs, William M. Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A. Chaigneau, Sergio E. Ciocca, Daniel R. Correa, Juan C. Cousineau, Denis de Boer, Michiel R. Dhar, Subhra S. Dolgov, Igor Gómez-Benito, Juana Grendar, Marian Grice, James W. Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E. Gutiérrez, Andrés Huedo-Medina, Tania B. Jaffe, Klaus Janyan, Armina Karimnezhad, Ali Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi Kosugi, Koji Lachmair, Martin Ledesma, Rubén D. Limongi, Roberto Liuzza, Marco T. Lombardo, Rosaria Marks, Michael J. Meinlschmidt, Gunther Nalborczyk, Ladislas Nguyen, Hung T. Ospina, Raydonal Perezgonzalez, Jose D. Pfister, Roland Rahona, Juan J. Rodríguez-Medina, David A. Romão, Xavier Ruiz-Fernández, Susana Suarez, Isabel Tegethoff, Marion Tejo, Mauricio van de Schoot, Rens Vankov, Ivan I. Velasco-Forero, Santiago Wang, Tonghui Yamada, Yuki Zoppino, Felipe C. M. Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando Front Psychol Psychology We argue that making accept/reject decisions on scientific hypotheses, including a recent call for changing the canonical alpha level from p = 0.05 to p = 0.005, is deleterious for the finding of new discoveries and the progress of science. Given that blanket and variable alpha levels both are problematic, it is sensible to dispense with significance testing altogether. There are alternatives that address study design and sample size much more directly than significance testing does; but none of the statistical tools should be taken as the new magic method giving clear-cut mechanical answers. Inference should not be based on single studies at all, but on cumulative evidence from multiple independent studies. When evaluating the strength of the evidence, we should consider, for example, auxiliary assumptions, the strength of the experimental design, and implications for applications. To boil all this down to a binary decision based on a p-value threshold of 0.05, 0.01, 0.005, or anything else, is not acceptable. Frontiers Media S.A. 2018-05-15 /pmc/articles/PMC5962803/ /pubmed/29867666 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.00699 Text en Copyright © 2018 Trafimow, Amrhein, Areshenkoff, Barrera-Causil, Beh, Bilgiç, Bono, Bradley, Briggs, Cepeda-Freyre, Chaigneau, Ciocca, Correa, Cousineau, de Boer, Dhar, Dolgov, Gómez-Benito, Grendar, Grice, Guerrero-Gimenez, Gutiérrez, Huedo-Medina, Jaffe, Janyan, Karimnezhad, Korner-Nievergelt, Kosugi, Lachmair, Ledesma, Limongi, Liuzza, Lombardo, Marks, Meinlschmidt, Nalborczyk, Nguyen, Ospina, Perezgonzalez, Pfister, Rahona, Rodríguez-Medina, Romão, Ruiz-Fernández, Suarez, Tegethoff, Tejo, van de Schoot, Vankov, Velasco-Forero, Wang, Yamada, Zoppino and Marmolejo-Ramos. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. |
spellingShingle | Psychology Trafimow, David Amrhein, Valentin Areshenkoff, Corson N. Barrera-Causil, Carlos J. Beh, Eric J. Bilgiç, Yusuf K. Bono, Roser Bradley, Michael T. Briggs, William M. Cepeda-Freyre, Héctor A. Chaigneau, Sergio E. Ciocca, Daniel R. Correa, Juan C. Cousineau, Denis de Boer, Michiel R. Dhar, Subhra S. Dolgov, Igor Gómez-Benito, Juana Grendar, Marian Grice, James W. Guerrero-Gimenez, Martin E. Gutiérrez, Andrés Huedo-Medina, Tania B. Jaffe, Klaus Janyan, Armina Karimnezhad, Ali Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi Kosugi, Koji Lachmair, Martin Ledesma, Rubén D. Limongi, Roberto Liuzza, Marco T. Lombardo, Rosaria Marks, Michael J. Meinlschmidt, Gunther Nalborczyk, Ladislas Nguyen, Hung T. Ospina, Raydonal Perezgonzalez, Jose D. Pfister, Roland Rahona, Juan J. Rodríguez-Medina, David A. Romão, Xavier Ruiz-Fernández, Susana Suarez, Isabel Tegethoff, Marion Tejo, Mauricio van de Schoot, Rens Vankov, Ivan I. Velasco-Forero, Santiago Wang, Tonghui Yamada, Yuki Zoppino, Felipe C. M. Marmolejo-Ramos, Fernando Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing |
title | Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing |
title_full | Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing |
title_fullStr | Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing |
title_full_unstemmed | Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing |
title_short | Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing |
title_sort | manipulating the alpha level cannot cure significance testing |
topic | Psychology |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5962803/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29867666 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2018.00699 |
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