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Mathematical models of SIR disease spread with combined non-sexual and sexual transmission routes

The emergence of Zika and Ebola demonstrates the importance of understanding the role of sexual transmission in the spread of diseases with a primarily non-sexual transmission route. In this paper, we develop low-dimensional models for how an SIR disease will spread if it transmits through a sexual...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Miller, Joel C.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2017
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5963332/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29928728
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2016.12.003
Descripción
Sumario:The emergence of Zika and Ebola demonstrates the importance of understanding the role of sexual transmission in the spread of diseases with a primarily non-sexual transmission route. In this paper, we develop low-dimensional models for how an SIR disease will spread if it transmits through a sexual contact network and some other transmission mechanism, such as direct contact or vectors. We show that the models derived accurately predict the dynamics of simulations in the large population limit, and investigate [Formula: see text] and final size relations.