Population exposure–response analysis of cabozantinib efficacy and safety endpoints in patients with renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND: In the phase III METEOR trial, tyrosine kinase inhibitor cabozantinib significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and overall survival compared to everolimus in patients with advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) who had received prior VEGFR inhibitor therapy. In METEOR, RCC patients started at a daily 60-mg cabozantinib tablet (Cabometyx™) dose but could reduce to 40- or 20-mg to achieve a tolerated exposure. OBJECTIVES AND METHODS: Exposure–response (ER) models were developed to characterize the relationship between cabozantinib at clinically relevant exposures in RCC patients enrolled in METEOR and efficacy (PFS and tumor response) and safety endpoints. RESULTS: Compared to the average steady-state cabozantinib concentration for a 60-mg dose, exposures at simulated 40- and 20-mg starting doses were predicted to result in higher risk of disease progression or death [hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.10 and 1.39, respectively], lower maximal median reduction in tumor size (− 11.9 vs − 9.1 and − 4.5%, respectively), and lower ORR (19.1 vs 15.6 and 8.7%, respectively). The 60-mg exposure was also associated with higher risk for selected adverse events (AEs) palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome (grade ≥ 1), fatigue/asthenia (grade ≥ 3), diarrhea (grade ≥ 3), and hypertension (predicted HRs of 2.21, 2.01, 1.78, and 1.85, respectively) relative to the predicted average steady-state cabozantinib concentration for a 20-mg starting dose. CONCLUSION: ER modeling predicted that cabozantinib exposures in RCC patients at the 60-mg starting dose would provide greater anti-tumor activity relative to exposures at simulated 40- and 20-mg starting doses that were associated with decreased rates of clinically relevant AEs. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1007/s00280-018-3579-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.