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Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation

Using an established Ross/Macdonald model variant for mosquito-born parasite transmission, we extend the formalism to simply incorporate time-dependent control measures. In particular, two interventions are considered, mass drug administration (MDA) and indoor residual spraying (IRS), whose individu...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Elliott, R.C., Smith, D.L., Echodu, D.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Elsevier 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6013649/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29655551
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2018.04.005
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author Elliott, R.C.
Smith, D.L.
Echodu, D.
author_facet Elliott, R.C.
Smith, D.L.
Echodu, D.
author_sort Elliott, R.C.
collection PubMed
description Using an established Ross/Macdonald model variant for mosquito-born parasite transmission, we extend the formalism to simply incorporate time-dependent control measures. In particular, two interventions are considered, mass drug administration (MDA) and indoor residual spraying (IRS), whose individual intensities during their respective campaigns are set to the same intervention-reduced reproductive number R(0). The impacts of these interventions, measured as each campaign’s ability over time to reduce infections in a community, are found based on the transmission setting, coverage, and their associated durations. These impacts are compared for both interventions and their joint deployment. Synchronous campaigns of IRS deployed with MDA have a cooperative, synergistic effect whose impact exceeds that when the campaigns are deployed in isolation. Simulations with openmalaria, with its more complex model of transmission, are separately performed and show a similar impact enhancement with these interventions. A new, associated analysis yields simple scaling relationships that estimate the dynamical resurgence time, post-intervention, to infection proliferation in a community.
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spelling pubmed-60136492018-06-25 Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation Elliott, R.C. Smith, D.L. Echodu, D. Math Biosci Article Using an established Ross/Macdonald model variant for mosquito-born parasite transmission, we extend the formalism to simply incorporate time-dependent control measures. In particular, two interventions are considered, mass drug administration (MDA) and indoor residual spraying (IRS), whose individual intensities during their respective campaigns are set to the same intervention-reduced reproductive number R(0). The impacts of these interventions, measured as each campaign’s ability over time to reduce infections in a community, are found based on the transmission setting, coverage, and their associated durations. These impacts are compared for both interventions and their joint deployment. Synchronous campaigns of IRS deployed with MDA have a cooperative, synergistic effect whose impact exceeds that when the campaigns are deployed in isolation. Simulations with openmalaria, with its more complex model of transmission, are separately performed and show a similar impact enhancement with these interventions. A new, associated analysis yields simple scaling relationships that estimate the dynamical resurgence time, post-intervention, to infection proliferation in a community. American Elsevier 2018-06 /pmc/articles/PMC6013649/ /pubmed/29655551 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2018.04.005 Text en © 2018 The Authors http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Elliott, R.C.
Smith, D.L.
Echodu, D.
Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation
title Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation
title_full Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation
title_fullStr Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation
title_full_unstemmed Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation
title_short Medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a Ross/Macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation
title_sort medical and entomological malarial interventions, a comparison and synergy of two control measures using a ross/macdonald model variant and openmalaria simulation
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6013649/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29655551
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2018.04.005
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