Eighty routes to a ribonucleotide world; dispersion and stringency in the decisive selection

We examine the initial emergence of genetics; that is, of an inherited chemical capability. The crucial actors are ribonucleotides, occasionally meeting in a prebiotic landscape. Previous work identified six influential variables during such random ribonucleotide pooling. Geochemical pools can be in periodic danger (e.g., from tides) or constant danger (e.g., from unfavorable weather). Such pools receive Gaussian nucleotide amounts sporadically, at random times, or get varying substrates simultaneously. Pools use cross-templated RNA synthesis (5′–5′ product from 5′–3′ template) or para-templated (5′–5′ product from 5′–5′ template) synthesis. Pools can undergo mild or strong selection, and be recently initiated (early) or late in age. Considering >80 combinations of these variables, selection calculations identify a superior route. Most likely, an early, sporadically fed, cross-templating pool in constant danger, receiving ≥1 mM nucleotides while under strong selection for a coenzyme-like product, will host selection of the first encoded biochemical functions. Predominantly templated products emerge from a critical event, the starting bloc selection, which exploits inevitable differences among early pools. Favorable selection has a simple rationale; it is increased by product dispersion (SD/mean), by selection intensity (mild or strong), or by combining these factors as stringency, reciprocal fraction of pools selected (1/sf(sel)). To summarize: chance utility, acting via a preference for disperse, templated coenzyme-like dinucleotides, uses stringent starting bloc selection to quickly establish majority encoded/genetic expression. Despite its computational origin, starting bloc selection is largely independent of specialized assumptions. This ribodinucleotide route to inheritance may also have facilitated 5′–3′ chemical RNA replication.