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A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region

The Malaria Frontier Hypothesis (MFH) is the current model for predicting malaria emergence in the Brazilian Amazon. It has two important dimensions, ‘settlement time’ and ‘malaria incidence’, and its prediction are: malaria incidence peaks five years after the initiation of human settlement and dec...

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Autores principales: Ilacqua, Roberto Cardoso, Chaves, Leonardo Suveges Moreira, Bergo, Eduardo Sterlino, Conn, Jan E, Sallum, Maria Anice Mubeb, Laporta, Gabriel Zorello
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Ministério da Saúde 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6055538/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30043836
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760170522
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author Ilacqua, Roberto Cardoso
Chaves, Leonardo Suveges Moreira
Bergo, Eduardo Sterlino
Conn, Jan E
Sallum, Maria Anice Mubeb
Laporta, Gabriel Zorello
author_facet Ilacqua, Roberto Cardoso
Chaves, Leonardo Suveges Moreira
Bergo, Eduardo Sterlino
Conn, Jan E
Sallum, Maria Anice Mubeb
Laporta, Gabriel Zorello
author_sort Ilacqua, Roberto Cardoso
collection PubMed
description The Malaria Frontier Hypothesis (MFH) is the current model for predicting malaria emergence in the Brazilian Amazon. It has two important dimensions, ‘settlement time’ and ‘malaria incidence’, and its prediction are: malaria incidence peaks five years after the initiation of human settlement and declines towards zero after an estimated 10 years. Although MFH is currently accepted, it has been challenged recently. Herein, we described a novel method for estimating settlement timeline by using remote sensing technology integrated in an open-software geographic information system. Surprisingly, we found that of the majority of the rural settlements with high malaria incidence are more than 10 years old.
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spelling pubmed-60555382018-07-26 A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region Ilacqua, Roberto Cardoso Chaves, Leonardo Suveges Moreira Bergo, Eduardo Sterlino Conn, Jan E Sallum, Maria Anice Mubeb Laporta, Gabriel Zorello Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz Technical Note The Malaria Frontier Hypothesis (MFH) is the current model for predicting malaria emergence in the Brazilian Amazon. It has two important dimensions, ‘settlement time’ and ‘malaria incidence’, and its prediction are: malaria incidence peaks five years after the initiation of human settlement and declines towards zero after an estimated 10 years. Although MFH is currently accepted, it has been challenged recently. Herein, we described a novel method for estimating settlement timeline by using remote sensing technology integrated in an open-software geographic information system. Surprisingly, we found that of the majority of the rural settlements with high malaria incidence are more than 10 years old. Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Ministério da Saúde 2018-07-23 /pmc/articles/PMC6055538/ /pubmed/30043836 http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760170522 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Technical Note
Ilacqua, Roberto Cardoso
Chaves, Leonardo Suveges Moreira
Bergo, Eduardo Sterlino
Conn, Jan E
Sallum, Maria Anice Mubeb
Laporta, Gabriel Zorello
A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region
title A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region
title_full A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region
title_fullStr A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region
title_full_unstemmed A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region
title_short A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region
title_sort method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the amazon region
topic Technical Note
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6055538/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30043836
http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-02760170522
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