Coronary CT in Australia has high positive predictive value unaffected by site volume: An analysis of 510 positive CTCA scans with invasive angiographic correlation

BACKGROUND: It was hypothesized that the accuracy of coronary CT angiography would be affected by case volume of the referring sites. METHODS: The positive predictive value (PPV) of CTCA performed at a tertiary hospital specialising in cardiothoracic medicine and services with lower case-volumes were calculated. The tertiary hospital used as the high case-volume reference centre was The Prince Charles Hospital, which performed >1500 CTCA scans per annum over the study period. The low case-volume services used in the study were suburban radiology services, each with <500 cases per year. The PPV of positive CTCA at the reference site was compared to the pooled PPV of all other sites as a combined cohort, using invasive angiography as the reference standard. 512 scans were included, n = 199 subjects in the reference centre cohort, and n = 311 subjects in the pooled community radiology practice cohort. RESULTS: The positive predictive value (PPV) of the high case-volume group (n = 199) was 0.7538. The PPV of the pooled low case-volume services (n = 589) was 0.7331, p = 0.604, with no statistically significant difference in positive predictive values. CONCLUSIONS: There was no significant difference in PPV between the two groups. This suggests that high-volume and lower-volume sites both have high PPV in Australia, above the published pooled PPV of four large prospective diagnostic accuracy studies (Miller et al., 2008; Budoff et al., 2008; Meijboom et al., 2008; Achenbach, 2007).