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Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios
What does the future hold for the world’s ecosystems and benefits that people obtain from them? While the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has identified the development of scenarios as a key to helping decision makers identify potential impacts of different...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Japan
2016
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6106191/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30174750 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-016-0354-8 |
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author | Kok, Marcel T. J. Kok, Kasper Peterson, Garry D. Hill, Rosemary Agard, John Carpenter, Stephen R. |
author_facet | Kok, Marcel T. J. Kok, Kasper Peterson, Garry D. Hill, Rosemary Agard, John Carpenter, Stephen R. |
author_sort | Kok, Marcel T. J. |
collection | PubMed |
description | What does the future hold for the world’s ecosystems and benefits that people obtain from them? While the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has identified the development of scenarios as a key to helping decision makers identify potential impacts of different policy options, it currently lacks a long-term scenario strategy. IPBES will decide how it will approach scenarios at its plenary meeting on 22–28 February 2016, in Kuala Lumpur. IPBES now needs to decide whether it should create new scenarios that better explore ecosystem services and biodiversity dynamics. For IPBES to capture the social-ecological dynamics of biodiversity and ecosystem services, it is essential to engage with the great diversity of local contexts, while also including the global tele-coupling among local places. We present and compare three alternative scenario strategies that IPBES could use and then suggest a bottom-up, cross-scale scenario strategy to improve the policy relevance of future IPBES assessments. We propose five concrete steps as part of an effective, long term scenario development process for IPBES in cooperation with the scientific community. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6106191 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2016 |
publisher | Springer Japan |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-61061912018-08-30 Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios Kok, Marcel T. J. Kok, Kasper Peterson, Garry D. Hill, Rosemary Agard, John Carpenter, Stephen R. Sustain Sci Note and Comment What does the future hold for the world’s ecosystems and benefits that people obtain from them? While the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) has identified the development of scenarios as a key to helping decision makers identify potential impacts of different policy options, it currently lacks a long-term scenario strategy. IPBES will decide how it will approach scenarios at its plenary meeting on 22–28 February 2016, in Kuala Lumpur. IPBES now needs to decide whether it should create new scenarios that better explore ecosystem services and biodiversity dynamics. For IPBES to capture the social-ecological dynamics of biodiversity and ecosystem services, it is essential to engage with the great diversity of local contexts, while also including the global tele-coupling among local places. We present and compare three alternative scenario strategies that IPBES could use and then suggest a bottom-up, cross-scale scenario strategy to improve the policy relevance of future IPBES assessments. We propose five concrete steps as part of an effective, long term scenario development process for IPBES in cooperation with the scientific community. Springer Japan 2016-02-09 2017 /pmc/articles/PMC6106191/ /pubmed/30174750 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-016-0354-8 Text en © The Author(s) 2016 Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. |
spellingShingle | Note and Comment Kok, Marcel T. J. Kok, Kasper Peterson, Garry D. Hill, Rosemary Agard, John Carpenter, Stephen R. Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios |
title | Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios |
title_full | Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios |
title_fullStr | Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios |
title_full_unstemmed | Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios |
title_short | Biodiversity and ecosystem services require IPBES to take novel approach to scenarios |
title_sort | biodiversity and ecosystem services require ipbes to take novel approach to scenarios |
topic | Note and Comment |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6106191/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30174750 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-016-0354-8 |
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