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Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime
This paper presents a modeling comparison on how stabilization of global climate change at about 2 °C above the pre-industrial level could affect economic and energy systems development in China and India. Seven General Equilibrium (CGE) and energy system models on either the global or national scal...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Netherlands
2014
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6108064/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30197558 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11027-014-9549-4 |
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author | Johansson, Daniel J. A. Lucas, Paul L. Weitzel, Matthias Ahlgren, Erik O. Bazaz, A. B Chen, Wenying den Elzen, Michel G. J. Ghosh, Joydeep Grahn, Maria Liang, Qiao-Mei Peterson, Sonja Pradhan, Basanta K. van Ruijven, Bas J. Shukla, P. R. van Vuuren, Detlef P. Wei, Yi-Ming |
author_facet | Johansson, Daniel J. A. Lucas, Paul L. Weitzel, Matthias Ahlgren, Erik O. Bazaz, A. B Chen, Wenying den Elzen, Michel G. J. Ghosh, Joydeep Grahn, Maria Liang, Qiao-Mei Peterson, Sonja Pradhan, Basanta K. van Ruijven, Bas J. Shukla, P. R. van Vuuren, Detlef P. Wei, Yi-Ming |
author_sort | Johansson, Daniel J. A. |
collection | PubMed |
description | This paper presents a modeling comparison on how stabilization of global climate change at about 2 °C above the pre-industrial level could affect economic and energy systems development in China and India. Seven General Equilibrium (CGE) and energy system models on either the global or national scale are soft-linked and harmonized with respect to population and economic assumptions. We simulate a climate regime, based on long-term convergence of per capita carbon dioxide (CO(2)) emissions, starting from the emission pledges presented in the Copenhagen Accord to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and allowing full emissions trading between countries. Under the climate regime, Indian emission allowances are allowed to grow more than the Chinese allowances, due to the per capita convergence rule and the higher population growth in India. Economic and energy implications not only differ among the two countries, but also across model types. Decreased energy intensity is the most important abatement approach in the CGE models, while decreased carbon intensity is most important in the energy system models. The reduction in carbon intensity is mostly achieved through deployment of carbon capture and storage, renewable energy sources and nuclear energy. The economic impacts are generally higher in China than in India, due to higher 2010–2050 cumulative abatement in China and the fact that India can offset more of its abatement cost though international emission trading. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6108064 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2014 |
publisher | Springer Netherlands |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-61080642018-09-05 Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime Johansson, Daniel J. A. Lucas, Paul L. Weitzel, Matthias Ahlgren, Erik O. Bazaz, A. B Chen, Wenying den Elzen, Michel G. J. Ghosh, Joydeep Grahn, Maria Liang, Qiao-Mei Peterson, Sonja Pradhan, Basanta K. van Ruijven, Bas J. Shukla, P. R. van Vuuren, Detlef P. Wei, Yi-Ming Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang Original Article This paper presents a modeling comparison on how stabilization of global climate change at about 2 °C above the pre-industrial level could affect economic and energy systems development in China and India. Seven General Equilibrium (CGE) and energy system models on either the global or national scale are soft-linked and harmonized with respect to population and economic assumptions. We simulate a climate regime, based on long-term convergence of per capita carbon dioxide (CO(2)) emissions, starting from the emission pledges presented in the Copenhagen Accord to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and allowing full emissions trading between countries. Under the climate regime, Indian emission allowances are allowed to grow more than the Chinese allowances, due to the per capita convergence rule and the higher population growth in India. Economic and energy implications not only differ among the two countries, but also across model types. Decreased energy intensity is the most important abatement approach in the CGE models, while decreased carbon intensity is most important in the energy system models. The reduction in carbon intensity is mostly achieved through deployment of carbon capture and storage, renewable energy sources and nuclear energy. The economic impacts are generally higher in China than in India, due to higher 2010–2050 cumulative abatement in China and the fact that India can offset more of its abatement cost though international emission trading. Springer Netherlands 2014-02-28 2015 /pmc/articles/PMC6108064/ /pubmed/30197558 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11027-014-9549-4 Text en © The Author(s) 2014 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/ Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Original Article Johansson, Daniel J. A. Lucas, Paul L. Weitzel, Matthias Ahlgren, Erik O. Bazaz, A. B Chen, Wenying den Elzen, Michel G. J. Ghosh, Joydeep Grahn, Maria Liang, Qiao-Mei Peterson, Sonja Pradhan, Basanta K. van Ruijven, Bas J. Shukla, P. R. van Vuuren, Detlef P. Wei, Yi-Ming Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime |
title | Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime |
title_full | Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime |
title_fullStr | Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime |
title_full_unstemmed | Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime |
title_short | Multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for China and India in an international climate regime |
title_sort | multi-model comparison of the economic and energy implications for china and india in an international climate regime |
topic | Original Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6108064/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30197558 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11027-014-9549-4 |
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