Stability of intrinsic rhythm in pacemaker‐dependent patients during pacemaker replacement: Can we predict the need for temporary pacing?

BACKGROUND: In pacemaker‐dependent patients, the risk of asystole must be managed during device replacement. This study aimed to examine whether we could predict the indication for temporary pacing (TP) during the generator replacement. METHODS: We studied 105 consecutive patients who underwent pacemaker replacement due to battery depletion at Juntendo Nerima Hospital between September 2005 and December 2016. We examined the relationship between the stability of the intrinsic rhythm (IR) during pacemaker replacement and several clinical factors including age, gender, sick sinus syndrome or atrioventricular (AV) block, duration of pacing, structural heart disease, use of anti‐arrhythmic drugs, and the presence/absence of a stable IR (>40 bpm) at the outpatient clinic (OPC) just before pacemaker replacement. RESULTS: Of the 105 patients, we excluded 1 patient who required TP because of bradycardia‐dependent torsades de points. Therefore, we evaluated 104 patients for the indication for TP. TP was underwent in 19 patients (18%) because of an absence or instability of the IR during pacemaker replacement. The indication for TP was significantly correlated with AV block (84% vs 48%, P = .0044) and the absence of a stable IR at the last OPC visit (89% vs 24%, P < .0001). For predicting the indication for TP, the following values of no stable IR at the last OPC visit were obtained: 89% sensitivity, 77% specificity, 46% positive predictive value, and 97% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of a stable IR at the last OPC visit was a good predictor (97%) of no indication for TP during pacemaker replacement.