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Role of blood urea nitrogen in predicting the post-discharge prognosis in elderly patients with acute decompensated heart failure
Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) is a surrogate marker for neurohormonal activation, but the association between BUN and the post-discharge prognosis in elderly patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is not well defined. We explored the association between BUN and post-discharge all-cause m...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6131513/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30202087 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-31059-4 |
Sumario: | Blood urea nitrogen (BUN) is a surrogate marker for neurohormonal activation, but the association between BUN and the post-discharge prognosis in elderly patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is not well defined. We explored the association between BUN and post-discharge all-cause mortality in 652 elderly patients (73.9 ± 7.8 yr) with ADHF. All patients were followed for a mean duration of 32 months (12–69 months). BUN was analyzed both as a continuous variable and according to two categories: low BUN group (BUN < 15.35 mmol/L, N = 361) and high BUN group (BUN ≥ 15.35 mmol/L, N = 291). The risk of all-cause mortality increased by 1.6% per 1 mmol/L increase in BUN concentration when BUN was used as a continuous variable [hazard ratio (HR): 1.016, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.006–1.026, p = 0.002]. BUN maintained an independent and significant positive correlation with all-cause mortality as a categorical variable (HR: 1.355, 95% CI: 1.023–1.794, p = 0.034 for the high BUN group). The BUN C-statistic for predicting all-cause mortality was 0.624 (95% CI: 0.585–0.661). The cut-off value for BUN was 15.35 mmol/L with sensitivity of 0.58 and specificity of 0.63. The prognostic performance of BUN was similar to brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) for predicting all-cause mortality (C-statistic: z = 0.044, p = 0.965). These results suggest that BUN is an independent predictor of post-discharge all-cause mortality in elderly patients with ADHF and its prognostic performance was similar to that of BNP. |
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