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Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments

Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty....

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Hansen, Lars Peter, Miao, Jianjun
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140537/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30154169
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1811243115
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author Hansen, Lars Peter
Miao, Jianjun
author_facet Hansen, Lars Peter
Miao, Jianjun
author_sort Hansen, Lars Peter
collection PubMed
description Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty. We illustrate our approach on some stylized stochastic environments. By design, these discrete time environments have revealing continuous time limits. Drawing on these illustrations, we construct recursive representations of intertemporal preferences that allow for penalized and smooth ambiguity aversion to subjective uncertainty. These recursive representations imply continuous time limiting Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations for solving control problems in the presence of uncertainty.
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spelling pubmed-61405372018-09-18 Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments Hansen, Lars Peter Miao, Jianjun Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Social Sciences Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty. We illustrate our approach on some stylized stochastic environments. By design, these discrete time environments have revealing continuous time limits. Drawing on these illustrations, we construct recursive representations of intertemporal preferences that allow for penalized and smooth ambiguity aversion to subjective uncertainty. These recursive representations imply continuous time limiting Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations for solving control problems in the presence of uncertainty. National Academy of Sciences 2018-09-11 2018-08-28 /pmc/articles/PMC6140537/ /pubmed/30154169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1811243115 Text en Copyright © 2018 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Social Sciences
Hansen, Lars Peter
Miao, Jianjun
Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
title Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
title_full Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
title_fullStr Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
title_full_unstemmed Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
title_short Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
title_sort aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
topic Social Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140537/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30154169
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1811243115
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