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Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments
Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty....
Autores principales: | , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140537/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30154169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1811243115 |
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author | Hansen, Lars Peter Miao, Jianjun |
author_facet | Hansen, Lars Peter Miao, Jianjun |
author_sort | Hansen, Lars Peter |
collection | PubMed |
description | Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty. We illustrate our approach on some stylized stochastic environments. By design, these discrete time environments have revealing continuous time limits. Drawing on these illustrations, we construct recursive representations of intertemporal preferences that allow for penalized and smooth ambiguity aversion to subjective uncertainty. These recursive representations imply continuous time limiting Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations for solving control problems in the presence of uncertainty. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6140537 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-61405372018-09-18 Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments Hansen, Lars Peter Miao, Jianjun Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Social Sciences Preferences that accommodate aversion to subjective uncertainty and its potential misspecification in dynamic settings are a valuable tool of analysis in many disciplines. By generalizing previous analyses, we propose a tractable approach to incorporating broadly conceived responses to uncertainty. We illustrate our approach on some stylized stochastic environments. By design, these discrete time environments have revealing continuous time limits. Drawing on these illustrations, we construct recursive representations of intertemporal preferences that allow for penalized and smooth ambiguity aversion to subjective uncertainty. These recursive representations imply continuous time limiting Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations for solving control problems in the presence of uncertainty. National Academy of Sciences 2018-09-11 2018-08-28 /pmc/articles/PMC6140537/ /pubmed/30154169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1811243115 Text en Copyright © 2018 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Social Sciences Hansen, Lars Peter Miao, Jianjun Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments |
title | Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments |
title_full | Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments |
title_fullStr | Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments |
title_full_unstemmed | Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments |
title_short | Aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments |
title_sort | aversion to ambiguity and model misspecification in dynamic stochastic environments |
topic | Social Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6140537/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30154169 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1811243115 |
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